On Friday 21 August 2026, Sydney Swans play North Melbourne Kangaroos in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 9.5 Disposals, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 9.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Aidan Corr hitting the Over 9.5 disposal mark against the Sydney Swans, the numbers paint a promising picture. In his last five away games, Corr has been a consistent contributor, averaging 11.6 disposals with a solid disposal efficiency of 84.9%. Facing the Swans in the previous five matchups, he has upped his game even more, averaging 13.5 disposals. With an overall hit rate of 12 out of 13, Corr is in a good form streak. Add his recent 14.9 disposal prediction and a slight model edge of 3.3%, and the Over 9.5 bet starts looking like a smart play. Expect Corr to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and impacting the game as North Melbourne takes on Sydney at the SCG.

Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 10.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Aidan Corr's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure for the Kangaroos. In his last five away games, Corr has been a beacon of consistency, averaging 11.6 disposals with a solid disposal efficiency of 84.9%. Against the upcoming opponent, the Sydney Swans, his numbers soar even higher, averaging 13.5 disposals in their last five meetings. With an overall hit rate of 11 out of 13 in his disposal line bets, Corr seems to thrive under pressure. Factor in his impressive marks for kicks (8) and metres gained (241.4) in away games, and it's evident he's a key player in North Melbourne's ball movement. With a model prediction of 14.9 disposals, backing Corr to exceed 10.5 disposals against the Swans seems like a savvy move for punters looking to snag a win in this clash at the SCG.

Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Aidan Corr is poised to be a pivotal figure when North Melbourne faces off against the Sydney Swans at the SCG. With a five-game average of 11.6 disposals on the road and a recent history against the Swans averaging 13.5 disposals, Corr has shown consistency in finding the footy. His ability to read the play is highlighted by an average of 4.2 intercepts per game away from home. Moreover, boasting a solid disposal efficiency of 84.9%, he's not just accumulating possessions but using them effectively. With the line set at 11.5 disposals, Corr's recent form and matchup history suggest he's primed to surpass that mark, making the Over an enticing proposition for punters looking to back his impact on the game.

That is how our model reads Sydney Swans v North Melbourne Kangaroos. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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