Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Under 1.5 Hits (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Pirates host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Gabriel Moreno, but betting the under on his hits at 1.5 seems wise. Recently, Moreno has struggled to find his rhythm at the plate, with only a .220 average over the last two weeks. The Pirates’ pitching staff has quietly turned into a formidable challenge, featuring a rotation that boasts a 3.60 ERA at home, making it increasingly tough for hitters to find success. Moreover, lefties like Moreno have not fared well against Pittsburgh’s ace, who has a knack for keeping left-handed bats in check. Given that Moreno has only managed to cross the 1.5 hits mark in a third of his recent games, it’s clear that this isn’t just a hunch; it’s a trend. With the odds favoring the under and the matchup heavily tilted against him, it’s a smart play to expect Moreno to struggle tonight.

Mitch Keller (NA) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pirates take the field against the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Mitch Keller and his strikeout potential. While Keller has shown flashes of brilliance this season, the numbers tell a different story when it comes to facing Arizona. The Diamondbacks, with their aggressive approach, have been adept at making contact, ranking among the league's bottom teams in strikeout percentage. Furthermore, Keller's recent outings reveal a trend of underwhelming strikeout totals, averaging just over two strikeouts per game against teams like Arizona. With the Diamondbacks' hitters finding their groove and Keller facing a lineup that thrives on putting the ball in play, the under on 4.5 strikeouts feels like a savvy play. It’s not just about the surface stats; it’s about the matchup dynamics that favor a lower strikeout total in this intriguing duel at PNC Park.

Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pirates host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Gabriel Moreno, but it might be wise to temper expectations on his total bases. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has been surprisingly resilient, posting a solid 3.75 ERA at home, and they thrive on keeping opponents off balance with their crafty mix of pitches. Plus, Moreno's recent form shows a dip in power—he's managed just a couple of hits in his last five games, leading to an underwhelming average against pitchers with similar profiles as today’s starter. While the Diamondbacks often rely on their offense, the Pirates' home advantage, coupled with Moreno's struggles, suggests he may be in for a quiet night. With the total bases line set at 1.5, betting the under feels like the smart play here, especially considering how well the Pirates have contained left-handed batters recently.

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