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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Browns
VS
New York Jets

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets Picks & Predictions · Sun 11 Oct

Our model graded 20 markets for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets and backs Over 20.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $196.

NFL
New York
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded

Sunday 11 October 2026: Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 20.5 Team Total -104

The model graded 20 markets for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM at New York.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win56.6%
The price says48.1%
Best price-104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 20.5 Lean57% chance -104
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean53% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
New York Jets are the model's favourite to beat Cleveland Browns, with a 57% chance to win. Predicted score: New York Jets 22.1 – Cleveland Browns 19.3. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 5:00PM at New York. Best bet: Over 20.5 at -104.
How they've been scoring this season
Cleveland BrownsNew York Jets
Won-lost3-11-3
Points scored per game20.319.0
Points allowed per game23.821.0
On the road / at home1-1 away0-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLWWWWLLL
Their games average 42.0 total points this season.
From the 4 Cleveland Browns and 4 New York Jets games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: New York Jets about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Brownsabout 5 in 10$2.19 (+119)$2.13 (+113)
New York Jetsabout 5 in 10$1.84 (-119)$1.78 (-128)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.10 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 20 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
20.5
-104
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,802+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Cleveland Browns on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Cleveland Browns
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on New York Jets
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Browns

  • Tylan Wallace WROut
  • Elgton Jenkins COut
  • Teven Jenkins GOut
  • Mason Graham DTQuestionable

New York Jets

  • Braiden McGregor DEOut
  • Jarvis Brownlee Jr. CBQuestionable
  • Mason Taylor TEOut
  • Dylan Parham GOut
  • Kiko Mauigoa LBOut
  • Adonai Mitchell WROut
  • Kingsley Enagbare LBOut
  • Breece Hall RBOut
  • Arian Smith WROut
  • David Onyemata DTOut
Availability updated Oct 6, 1:05AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineNew York Jets to winNo line posted

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew York Jets spreadNo line posted

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBrowns @ JetsOver 40.5 -102
53%over %

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Cleveland Browns at New York Jets — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets — recent results

New York Jets have won 1 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Browns have won 4 of their last 5.

New York Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L12–23CHIAway
L24–31DETAway
L17–20GBHome
W23–10TENAway
L6–23NYGHome
Cleveland Browns — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–24PITHome
W21–18CARHome
W23–19TBAway
L10–34JAXAway
W37–13NEHome

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Jets
PlayerStatus
Braiden McGregor DEOUT
Jarvis Brownlee Jr. CBQUESTIONABLE
Mason Taylor TEOUT
Dylan Parham GOUT
Kiko Mauigoa LBOUT
Adonai Mitchell WROUT
Kingsley Enagbare LBOUT
Breece Hall RBOUT
Cleveland Browns
PlayerStatus
Tylan Wallace WROUT
Elgton Jenkins COUT
Teven Jenkins GOUT
Mason Graham DTQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets — where the money went

Since betting opened on Cleveland Browns at New York Jets, the market has moved away from Cleveland Browns across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Cleveland Browns 1▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — New York Jets -1▲ Money came for this
Spread — New York Jets -2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Cleveland Browns 2.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 40.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 40.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 39.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Cleveland Browns 2▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Browns vs Jets, or as Jets vs Browns. The next scheduled game is Sunday 11 October 2026 at New York. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets head-to-head record

Final scores · 9 meetings on record
New York Jets 6–3 across the last 9 meetings · these games average 44.3 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 9 Nov 2025, Cleveland Browns at New York Jets: the Jets won 27-20.

DateGameScoreWinner
9 Nov 2025Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets27–20New York Jets
28 Dec 2023New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns37–20Cleveland Browns
18 Sep 2022New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns30–31New York Jets
27 Dec 2020Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets23–16New York Jets
16 Sep 2019Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets3–23Cleveland Browns
20 Sep 2018New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns21–17Cleveland Browns
8 Oct 2017New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns14–17New York Jets
30 Oct 2016New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns28–31New York Jets
13 Sep 2015Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets31–10New York Jets

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