Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
New York Jets
VS
Detroit Lions

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 22, 7:39AM UTC

Our model graded 20 markets for New York Jets vs Detroit Lions and backs Under 23.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $310.

NFL
Detroit
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 23.5 Alternate Team Total Points +210

The model graded 20 markets for New York Jets vs Detroit Lions (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $310 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 27 Sep 2026, 5:00PM at Detroit.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.8%
The price says30.5%
Best price+210
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Under 23.5 Lean45% chance +210
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean41% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H2 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Moneyline Q1 Members only Lean44% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
New York Jets are the model's favourite to beat Detroit Lions, with a 51% chance to win. Predicted score: Detroit Lions 24.7 – New York Jets 21.6. Kick-off Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM at Detroit. Best bet: Under 23.5 at +210.
Unlock every pick for this game

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 22 bookmakers compared
Winner
New York Jets3.57+257Kalshi
Detroit Lions1.35-285Kalshi
Total points
Over481.93-108BetMGM
Under481.98-102LowVig

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions odds by bookmaker

22 books · best price in green
BookNew York Jets winDetroit Lions winDetroit Lions -6.5Over 48Under 48
Bally Bet——1.85-1181.92-1091.89-112
BetAnySports——1.87-1151.91-1101.91-110
BetMGM——1.89-1121.93-1081.91-110
BetOnline——1.88-1141.87-1151.95-105
betPARX——1.85-1181.92-1091.89-112
BetRivers——1.85-1181.92-1091.89-112
BetUS——1.87-1151.91-1101.91-110
Bovada——1.91-1101.87-1151.95-105
DraftKings——1.91-110——
ESPN BET——1.87-115——
Fanatics——1.87-115——
FanDuel——1.83-120——
Fliff——1.83-120——
Hard Rock Bet——1.87-1151.91-1101.91-110

Since the market opened: Detroit Lions to win opened 1.29, best now 1.35; the over 48 opened 1.91, best now 1.93 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 349 of 542 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 22
Over 14.5
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $132
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Under
35.5
-526
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,699+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York JetsMoneyline Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward New York Jets on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward New York Jets
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on New York Jets
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Jets

  • Kene Nwangwu RBOut
  • Joseph Ossai DEOut
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick SOut
  • Mason Taylor TEQuestionable
  • Kiko Mauigoa LBQuestionable
  • Marcelino McCrary-Ball LBQuestionable
  • David Onyemata DTQuestionable
  • Omar Cooper Jr. WROut

Detroit Lions

  • Avonte Maddox CBOut
  • Christian Mahogany GOut
  • Blake Miller OTOut
Availability updated Sep 22, 2:11AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Jets vs Detroit Lions: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineDetroit Lions to winNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew York Jets spread+6.5 -102
60%cover %
Lions line · free board7-4

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsJets @ LionsUnder 48.5 -115
57%under %

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New York Jets @ Detroit Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Jets at Detroit Lions — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions — recent results

Detroit Lions have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Jets have won 2 of their last 5.

Detroit Lions — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L31–41BUFAway
W31–30NOHome
W25–16INDAway
W17–13WSHHome
L14–16CINAway
New York Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L17–20GBHome
W23–10TENAway
L6–23NYGHome
W17–0PITAway
L16–24TBHome

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Lions
PlayerStatus
Avonte Maddox CBOUT
Christian Mahogany GOUT
Blake Miller OTOUT
New York Jets
PlayerStatus
Kene Nwangwu RBOUT
Joseph Ossai DEOUT
Minkah Fitzpatrick SOUT
Mason Taylor TEQUESTIONABLE
Kiko Mauigoa LBQUESTIONABLE
Marcelino McCrary-Ball LBQUESTIONABLE
David Onyemata DTQUESTIONABLE
Omar Cooper Jr. WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Jets @ Detroit Lions — where the money went

Since betting opened on New York Jets at Detroit Lions, the market has moved toward New York Jets across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — New York Jets▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Detroit Lions▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Detroit Lions -7▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — New York Jets 7▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 47.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 47.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Detroit Lions -7.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — New York Jets 7.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Jets vs Detroit Lions in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Jets vs Lions, or as Lions vs Jets. The next scheduled game is Sunday 27 September 2026 at Detroit. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings (meetings on record since 2018)
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Dec 2022Detroit Lions @ New York Jets17–20Detroit Lions
10 Sep 2018New York Jets @ Detroit Lions17–48New York Jets

Playing fantasy? NFL fantasy projections for this week — the same model, scored your way.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.