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Model picks & player props
NFL
New England
Sun 18 Jan 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Houston Texans
VS
New England Patriots

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 7 markets for Houston Texans vs New England Patriots and backs New England Patriots -3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $200.

7
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New England Patriots
to win by 4+ points
New England Patriots -3.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$20.00Best price+100
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.8%
The price says50.0%

The model graded 7 markets for Houston Texans vs New England Patriots (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Jan 2026, 3:00 PM ET at New England.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New England Patriots -3.5 High66% chance +100
Spread Members only High65% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean58% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High70% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Houston Texans and New England Patriots last met on Sun 18 Jan 2026: New England Patriots won 28-16. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New England Patriots
-3.5
+100
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New England PatriotsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Texans

  • Jaylin Noel WROut
  • Jalen Pitre SQuestionable
  • David Montgomery RBQuestionable
  • Reed Blankenship SQuestionable
  • Blake Fisher OTQuestionable

New England Patriots

  • Carlton Davis III CBQuestionable
  • Christian Elliss LBQuestionable
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • A.J. Brown WRQuestionable
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker GOut
Availability updated Oct 31, 2:24AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Texans vs New England Patriots: Outdoors with 5 mph wind, 53°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind5 mph
Temperature53°F
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew England Patriots spreadNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsTexans @ PatriotsNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Houston Texans @ New England Patriots — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Houston Texans at New England Patriots — 7 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Texans vs New England Patriots — recent results

New England Patriots have won 3 of their last 5 games; Houston Texans have won 2 of their last 5.

New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–30CHIAway
W26–19NYJHome
W45–17LVHome
W29–26BUFAway
L6–35JAXAway
Houston Texans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L21–27NYGHome
W34–31JAXAway
W26–3TENAway
L30–34DALHome
L17–19INDAway

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New England Patriots won 1, Houston Texans won 0.

DateNew England PatriotsHouston TexansWinner
Jan 182816New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Carlton Davis III CBQUESTIONABLE
Christian Elliss LBQUESTIONABLE
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
A.J. Brown WRQUESTIONABLE
Alijah Vera-Tucker GOUT
Houston Texans
PlayerStatus
Jaylin Noel WROUT
Jalen Pitre SQUESTIONABLE
David Montgomery RBQUESTIONABLE
Reed Blankenship SQUESTIONABLE
Blake Fisher OTQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Texans vs New England Patriots in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Texans vs Patriots, or as Patriots vs Texans. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 January 2026 at New England. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 18 Jan 2026New England Patriots beat Houston Texans 28-16 at home

Houston Texans: last 5 results

  1. 25 Oct 2026Lostvs New York Giants 21-27
  2. 18 Oct 2026Wonat Jacksonville Jaguars 34-31
  3. 11 Oct 2026Wonat Tennessee Titans 26-3
  4. 4 Oct 2026Lostvs Dallas Cowboys 30-34
  5. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Indianapolis Colts 17-19

New England Patriots: last 5 results

  1. 22 Oct 2026Lostat Chicago Bears 24-30
  2. 18 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Jets 26-19
  3. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Las Vegas Raiders 45-17
  4. 4 Oct 2026Wonat Buffalo Bills 29-26
  5. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Jacksonville Jaguars 6-35

Quick answers

Who won the last New England Patriots vs Houston Texans game? New England Patriots won their last meeting 28-16 on 18 January 2026.

How have Houston Texans and New England Patriots done lately? Houston Texans won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. New England Patriots won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots head-to-head record

Final scores · 10 meetings on record
New England Patriots 7–3 across the last 10 meetings · these games average 47.6 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 18 Jan 2026, Houston Texans at New England Patriots: the Patriots won 28-16.

DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jan 2026Houston Texans @ New England Patriots28–16New England Patriots
13 Oct 2024Houston Texans @ New England Patriots21–41Houston Texans
10 Oct 2021New England Patriots @ Houston Texans22–25New England Patriots
22 Nov 2020New England Patriots @ Houston Texans27–20Houston Texans
1 Dec 2019New England Patriots @ Houston Texans28–22Houston Texans
9 Sep 2018Houston Texans @ New England Patriots27–20New England Patriots
24 Sep 2017Houston Texans @ New England Patriots36–33New England Patriots
14 Jan 2017Houston Texans @ New England Patriots34–16New England Patriots
22 Sep 2016Houston Texans @ New England Patriots27–0New England Patriots
13 Dec 2015New England Patriots @ Houston Texans6–27New England Patriots

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