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Model picks & player props
Houston Texans
VS
Tennessee Titans

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Picks & Predictions · Sun 11 Oct

Our model graded 21 markets for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans and backs Over 14.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $171.

NFL
Tennessee
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded

Sunday 11 October 2026: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 14.5 Alternate Team Total Points -141

The model graded 21 markets for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $171 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM at Tennessee.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win68.5%
The price says55.1%
Best price-141
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Over 14.5 High68% chance -141
Alternate Team Total Points Members only High72% chance Members
Team Total Members only High65% chance Members
Total Points Members only High61% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean54% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
Anytime TD × 1 prop Long-shotup to 36% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Houston Texans are the model's favourite to beat Tennessee Titans, with a 70% chance to win. Predicted score: Tennessee Titans 19 – Houston Texans 24.2. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 5:00PM at Tennessee. Best bet: Over 14.5 at -141.
How they've been scoring this season
Houston TexansTennessee Titans
Won-lost0-40-4
Points scored per game21.013.8
Points allowed per game27.320.8
On the road / at home0-1 away0-2 at home
Last 5 gamesLLLLLLLL
Their games average 41.4 total points this season.
From the 4 Houston Texans and 4 Tennessee Titans games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Houston Texans about 7 in 10 to win. Now: about 7 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Houston Texansabout 7 in 10$1.36 (-278)$1.33 (-303)
Titansabout 3 in 10$3.75 (+275)$3.70 (+270)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.20 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 21 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Over
20.5
-179
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,802+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tennessee TitansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tennessee TitansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tennessee TitansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Tennessee Titans on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Tennessee Titans
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on Tennessee Titans
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Texans

  • Azeez Al-Shaair LBOut
  • Tank Dell WROut
  • Jaden Crumedy DTQuestionable
  • Jaylin Smith CBQuestionable
  • Kenneth Murray Jr. LBQuestionable
  • British Brooks RBOut

Tennessee Titans

  • Jackson Slater GOut
  • Fernando Carmona GOut
Availability updated Oct 6, 2:32AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans: Outdoors with 10 mph wind, 35°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind10 mph
Temperature35°F
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tony Pollard TEN Anytime TD

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineTennessee Titans to win+275

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadTennessee Titans spread+6.5 -102
54%cover %

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsTexans @ TitansOver 39.5 -105
61%over %

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans — recent results

Tennessee Titans have won 0 of their last 5 games; Houston Texans have won 0 of their last 5.

Tennessee Titans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L18–24BALAway
L7–12NYGAway
L20–24PHIHome
L10–23NYJHome
L15–24CHIHome
Houston Texans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L30–34DALHome
L17–19INDAway
L6–20CINHome
L31–36BUFHome
L13–16CARAway

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tennessee Titans
PlayerStatus
Jackson Slater GOUT
Fernando Carmona GOUT
Houston Texans
PlayerStatus
Azeez Al-Shaair LBOUT
Tank Dell WROUT
Jaden Crumedy DTQUESTIONABLE
Jaylin Smith CBQUESTIONABLE
Kenneth Murray Jr. LBQUESTIONABLE
British Brooks RBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans — where the money went

Since betting opened on Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans, the market has moved away from Tennessee Titans across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Tennessee Titans▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Houston Texans▲ Money came for this
Spread — Tennessee Titans 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Houston Texans -6.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Houston Texans -7▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Tennessee Titans 7▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 39.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 39.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Texans vs Titans, or as Titans vs Texans. The next scheduled game is Sunday 11 October 2026 at Tennessee. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Houston Texans 13–9 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 43.8 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 16 Nov 2025, Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans: the Texans won 16-13.

DateGameScoreWinner
16 Nov 2025Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans13–16Houston Texans
28 Sep 2025Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans26–0Houston Texans
5 Jan 2025Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans14–23Houston Texans
24 Nov 2024Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans27–32Tennessee Titans
31 Dec 2023Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans26–3Houston Texans
17 Dec 2023Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans16–19Houston Texans
24 Dec 2022Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans14–19Houston Texans
30 Oct 2022Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans10–17Tennessee Titans
9 Jan 2022Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans25–28Tennessee Titans
21 Nov 2021Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans13–22Houston Texans

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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