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Model picks & player props
NFL
Houston
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys
VS
Houston Texans

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans and backs Under 5.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Houston Texans
under 5.5 points
Under 5.5 Team Totals Q1
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.4%
The price says48.9%

The model graded 70 markets for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Houston.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Totals Q1 Houston Texans Under 5.5 High61% chance -110
Team Totals H1 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean58% chance Members
Moneyline Q1 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Alternate Spreads Q1 Members only High69% chance Members
Spreads H1 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Moneyline H1 Members only Lean49% chance Members
Alternate Spreads H1 Members only Lean46% chance Members
Moneyline 3 Way H1 Members only Lean44% chance Members
Pass Completions × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards × 4 props Highup to 72% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 3 props Leanup to 59% Members
Receptions × 8 props Highup to 72% Members
Receiving Yards × 7 props Highup to 70% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans last met on Sun 4 Oct 2026: Dallas Cowboys won 34-30. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Totals Q1
Under
5.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,330+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline 3 Way H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Cowboys

  • Donovan Ezeiruaku LBOut
  • Joey Porter Jr. CBQuestionable
  • DaRon Bland CBQuestionable
  • Jonathan Mingo WROut
  • Juanyeh Thomas SDoubtful
  • Alijah Clark SQuestionable
  • Devin Moore CBOut
  • Tyler Goodson RBOut
  • P.J. Locke SOut
  • Jake Ferguson TEOut

Houston Texans

  • Will Anderson Jr. DEQuestionable
  • Danielle Hunter DEOut
  • Brevin Jordan TEOut
  • Azeez Al-Shaair LBOut
  • Wyatt Teller GQuestionable
  • Keylan Rutledge GOut
  • Trent Brown OTQuestionable
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. WROut
  • David Montgomery RBQuestionable
  • Jaylin Smith CBOut
  • Jake Hummel LBOut
Availability updated Nov 14, 1:00AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dak Prescott DAL Pass Completions
Javonte Williams DAL Rushing Yards
Jaylin Noel HOU Receptions (Alt)
Jaylin Noel HOU Receptions
George Pickens DAL Receptions

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDallas Cowboys to winNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDallas Cowboys spreadNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsCowboys @ TexansNo line posted

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans — recent results

Houston Texans have won 3 of their last 5 games; Dallas Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5.

Houston Texans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W44–22LACAway
L21–27NYGHome
W34–31JAXAway
W26–3TENAway
L30–34DALHome
Dallas Cowboys — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–23INDAway
L30–33ARIHome
W38–21PHIAway
L13–23GBAway
L16–24TBHome

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Houston Texans won 0, Dallas Cowboys won 1.

DateHouston TexansDallas CowboysWinner
Oct 43034Dallas Cowboys

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Texans
PlayerStatus
Will Anderson Jr. DEQUESTIONABLE
Danielle Hunter DEOUT
Brevin Jordan TEOUT
Azeez Al-Shaair LBOUT
Wyatt Teller GQUESTIONABLE
Keylan Rutledge GOUT
Trent Brown OTQUESTIONABLE
Marvin Harrison Jr. WROUT
Dallas Cowboys
PlayerStatus
Donovan Ezeiruaku LBOUT
Joey Porter Jr. CBQUESTIONABLE
DaRon Bland CBQUESTIONABLE
Jonathan Mingo WROUT
Juanyeh Thomas SDOUBTFUL
Alijah Clark SQUESTIONABLE
Devin Moore CBOUT
Tyler Goodson RBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Cowboys vs Texans, or as Texans vs Cowboys. The most recent game between them was Sunday 4 October 2026 at Houston. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 4 Oct 2026Dallas Cowboys beat Houston Texans 34-30 on the road

Dallas Cowboys: last 5 results

  1. 8 Nov 2026Wonat Indianapolis Colts 27-23
  2. 1 Nov 2026Lostvs Arizona Cardinals 30-33
  3. 26 Oct 2026Wonat Philadelphia Eagles 38-21
  4. 18 Oct 2026Lostat Green Bay Packers 13-23
  5. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-24

Houston Texans: last 5 results

  1. 8 Nov 2026Wonat Los Angeles Chargers 44-22
  2. 25 Oct 2026Lostvs New York Giants 21-27
  3. 18 Oct 2026Wonat Jacksonville Jaguars 34-31
  4. 11 Oct 2026Wonat Tennessee Titans 26-3
  5. 4 Oct 2026Lostvs Dallas Cowboys 30-34

Quick answers

Who won the last Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys game? Dallas Cowboys won their last meeting 34-30 on 4 October 2026.

How have Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans done lately? Dallas Cowboys won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Houston Texans won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans: the season so far

From every final score this season

Dallas Cowboys are 4-5 this season and Houston Texans are 3-5. Houston Texans are 0-4 at home. Dallas Cowboys are 3-2 on the road. Houston Texans score 26.1 points a game and let in 24.0. Dallas Cowboys score 27.3 and let in 26.2. Houston Texans games have averaged 50 points in total; Dallas Cowboys games have averaged 54.

SeasonDallas CowboysHouston Texans
Won-lost4-53-5
At home1-30-4
On the road3-23-1
Points scored a game27.326.1
Points let in a game26.224.0
Points scored at home28.522.0
Points scored away26.430.3
Against winning sides0-21-3
Current runWon 1Won 1
Biggest win38-21 at Philadelphia Eagles26-3 at Tennessee Titans
Heaviest loss23-13 at Green Bay Packers20-6 vs Cincinnati Bengals

Teams they have both played

  • Against New York Giants: Houston Texans lost 21-27 at home; Dallas Cowboys lost 20-28 on the road.
  • Against Indianapolis Colts: Houston Texans lost 17-19 on the road; Dallas Cowboys won 27-23 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Houston Texans doing this season? Houston Texans are 3-5 this season: 0-4 at home and 3-1 on the road.

How many points do Dallas Cowboys score a game? Dallas Cowboys score 27.3 points a game this season and let in 26.2, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 48.3 points (meetings on record since 2018)

Last meeting: Sun 4 Oct 2026, Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans: the Cowboys won 34-30.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Oct 2026Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans30–34Dallas Cowboys
18 Nov 2024Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys10–34Houston Texans
11 Dec 2022Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys27–23Dallas Cowboys
7 Oct 2018Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans19–16Houston Texans
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