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Model picks & player props
NFL
Houston
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys
VS
Houston Texans

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans and backs Under 5.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Houston Texans
under 5.5 points
Under 5.5 Team Totals Q1
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.4%
The price says48.9%

The model graded 70 markets for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Houston.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Totals Q1 Houston Texans Under 5.5 High61% chance -110
Team Totals H1 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean58% chance Members
Moneyline Q1 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Alternate Spreads Q1 Members only High69% chance Members
Spreads H1 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Moneyline H1 Members only Lean49% chance Members
Alternate Spreads H1 Members only Lean46% chance Members
Moneyline 3 Way H1 Members only Lean44% chance Members
Pass Completions × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards × 4 props Highup to 72% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 3 props Leanup to 59% Members
Receptions × 8 props Highup to 72% Members
Receiving Yards × 7 props Highup to 70% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans last met on Sun 4 Oct 2026: Dallas Cowboys won 34-30. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Totals Q1
Under
5.5
-110
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,361+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline 3 Way H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Cowboys

  • Marist Liufau LBOut
  • Cobie Durant CBQuestionable
  • KaVontae Turpin WRQuestionable
  • George Pickens WRQuestionable
  • Tyler Guyton OTQuestionable
  • Drew Shelton OTQuestionable
  • Dee Winters LBDoubtful

Houston Texans

  • David Montgomery RBDoubtful
  • Reed Blankenship SQuestionable
  • Brevin Jordan TEQuestionable
  • Azeez Al-Shaair LBQuestionable
  • Dalton Schultz TEQuestionable
  • Jalen Pitre SQuestionable
  • Henry To'oTo'o LBQuestionable
  • Blake Fisher OTQuestionable
  • Jake Hummel LBOut
  • Tank Dell WROut
Availability updated Oct 23, 3:51PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dak Prescott DAL Pass Completions
Javonte Williams DAL Rushing Yards
Jaylin Noel HOU Receptions (Alt)
Jaylin Noel HOU Receptions
George Pickens DAL Receptions

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDallas Cowboys to winNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDallas Cowboys spreadNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsCowboys @ TexansNo line posted

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans — recent results

Houston Texans have won 2 of their last 5 games; Dallas Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5.

Houston Texans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W34–31JAXAway
W26–3TENAway
L30–34DALHome
L17–19INDAway
L6–20CINHome
Dallas Cowboys — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–23GBAway
L16–24TBHome
W34–30HOUAway
L31–34BALHome
W37–20WSHHome

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Houston Texans won 0, Dallas Cowboys won 1.

DateHouston TexansDallas CowboysWinner
Oct 43034Dallas Cowboys

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Texans
PlayerStatus
David Montgomery RBDOUBTFUL
Reed Blankenship SQUESTIONABLE
Brevin Jordan TEQUESTIONABLE
Azeez Al-Shaair LBQUESTIONABLE
Dalton Schultz TEQUESTIONABLE
Jalen Pitre SQUESTIONABLE
Henry To'oTo'o LBQUESTIONABLE
Blake Fisher OTQUESTIONABLE
Dallas Cowboys
PlayerStatus
Marist Liufau LBOUT
Cobie Durant CBQUESTIONABLE
KaVontae Turpin WRQUESTIONABLE
George Pickens WRQUESTIONABLE
Tyler Guyton OTQUESTIONABLE
Drew Shelton OTQUESTIONABLE
Dee Winters LBDOUBTFUL

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Cowboys vs Texans, or as Texans vs Cowboys. The most recent game between them was Sunday 4 October 2026 at Houston. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 48.3 points (meetings on record since 2018)

Last meeting: Sun 4 Oct 2026, Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans: the Cowboys won 34-30.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Oct 2026Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans30–34Dallas Cowboys
18 Nov 2024Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys10–34Houston Texans
11 Dec 2022Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys27–23Dallas Cowboys
7 Oct 2018Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans19–16Houston Texans

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