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Model picks & player props
Golden State Warriors
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 7:08AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
2
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Under 120.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 5 markets for Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $118 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 89.6%, fair odds 1.12, book price -556, model edge +4.8%.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Under
120.5
-556
+ 1 more market
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🔒
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State WarriorsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 30, 3:59PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandin Podziemski Golden State Warriors Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Aaron Wiggins Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsGolden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City ThunderNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder and Golden State Warriors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOklahoma City Thunder spreadNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) meet Golden State Warriors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder to winNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) host or visit Golden State Warriors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Golden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City Thunder — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder — 2 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder — recent results

Oklahoma City Thunder have won 0 of their last 1 games; Golden State Warriors have won 0 of their last 0.

Oklahoma City Thunder — last 1
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L103–111SAHome

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerStatus
Ajay Mitchell GDAY-TO-DAY
Otega Oweh GDAY-TO-DAY
Thomas Sorber CDAY-TO-DAY
Jalen Williams GDAY-TO-DAY
Nikola Topic GDAY-TO-DAY
Golden State Warriors
PlayerStatus
Jimmy Butler III FOUT
Moses Moody GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Golden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City Thunder — model preview

Winning bets for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Aaron Wiggins. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors stats and odds.

Aaron Wiggins (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 14.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Let's chat about Aaron Wiggins, the Oklahoma City Thunder's shooting guard. He's been fairly modest lately, especially when you consider his recent performances under the bright lights of home games. In the last five, he's managed an average of just 7 points and 0.4 assists - nowhere near the 14.5 target. Even when you put him head-to-head with the Warriors, his stats don't exactly shoot through the roof. He's delivered an average of 8.2 points and 0.8 assists in those matchups. What's more, his expected stat value sits at a humble 12.03. All in all, it's hard to see him suddenly going supernova this Sunday. So, don't be swayed by the bright lights of the NBA - the under 14.5 on points + assists for Wiggins seems like a good call.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Warriors vs Thunder, or as Thunder vs Warriors. The model has generated 2 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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