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Model picks & player props
Golden State Warriors
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:20AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
2
Game Picks
3
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 120.5 (Team Total Points)
For Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA), model win probability 89.6%, fair odds 1.12, book price -556, model edge +4.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
120.5
-556
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State WarriorsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Aday Mara CDay-to-day
  • Bennett Stirtz GDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 10:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandin Podziemski Golden State Warriors Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Aaron Wiggins Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsGolden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City ThunderNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder and Golden State Warriors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOklahoma City Thunder spreadNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) meet Golden State Warriors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder to winNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) host or visit Golden State Warriors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Golden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City Thunder — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Aaron Wiggins. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors stats and odds.</p>

Aaron Wiggins (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 14.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Let's chat about Aaron Wiggins, the Oklahoma City Thunder's shooting guard. He's been fairly modest lately, especially when you consider his recent performances under the bright lights of home games. In the last five, he's managed an average of just 7 points and 0.4 assists - nowhere near the 14.5 target. Even when you put him head-to-head with the Warriors, his stats don't exactly shoot through the roof. He's delivered an average of 8.2 points and 0.8 assists in those matchups. What's more, his expected stat value sits at a humble 12.03. All in all, it's hard to see him suddenly going supernova this Sunday. So, don't be swayed by the bright lights of the NBA - the under 14.5 on points + assists for Wiggins seems like a good call.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA. The model has generated 2 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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