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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 8.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 51%, edge +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:56PM UTC
NBA

Cason Wallace

Oklahoma City Thunder

+16.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 8.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
+16.6% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
11.7 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 67.9% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +16.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs67.9%51.3%1.47+16.6%

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AI Analysis

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Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cason Wallace is primed for a standout performance against the Phoenix Suns, especially with the game being at home. Over the last few games, he's been finding his rhythm, averaging 11.8 points and 3.2 rebounds at home, both of which suggest he's ready to exceed that 8.5 mark. In fact, his last three home games show a perfect hit rate, highlighting his growing comfort in front of the Thunder crowd. Plus, facing the Suns, Wallace has consistently tallied around 11 points at home, coupled with 4 rebounds. With an expected stat value of 11.72, it seems the odds are in our favor. Given that he's hit this mark 5 out of his last 8 games overall, the pieces are falling into place for Wallace to deliver a strong outing. Betting on the Over here feels not just reasonable, but smart.

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Pick History & Track Record

Cason Wallace — 2024-25 season averages

Over 78 games in the 2024-25 season, Cason Wallace averaged 7.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 26.6 minutes per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 35.8% from three-point range.

7.9
PPG
3.3
RPG
2.5
APG
1.7
SPG
0.5
BPG
26.6
MPG
47.5%
FG%
35.8%
3P%

Cason Wallace — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Cason Wallace has played 18.8 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

18.8
MPG (L5)
5.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Cason Wallace — home vs away scoring

At home Cason Wallace averages 7.6 points per game; on the road, 8.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.6
PPG at home
8.3
PPG on the road

Cason Wallace — scoring by opponent

Cason Wallace scores most against the DAL, averaging 7.6 points per game in that matchup.

7.6
DAL
6.8
MEM
5.5
DEN

Cason Wallace — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Cason Wallace has averaged 5.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs DEN18422
11 May@ DEN231152
9 May@ DEN20231
7 Mayvs DEN12822
5 Mayvs DEN21323
26 Apr@ MEM21411
24 Apr@ MEM24553
22 Aprvs MEM24523
20 Aprvs MEM13223
8 Aprvs LAL271121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 8.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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