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Cason Wallace

Oklahoma City Thunder

Value call

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) has one live pick today: over 5.5 points that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
9.4 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.0% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +20.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:30 PM ET
Cason Wallace
over 5.5 points
Points Over 5.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
HIGHWins about 75 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.50 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 5.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:50AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Wallace (rest) won't play in Monday's preseason game against the Hawks, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
updated Oct 10, 7:25PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points75.0%—54.1%1.33+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 5.5 Points (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to face the Phoenix Suns, all signs point to Cason Wallace exceeding the 5.5 points mark with relative ease. At home, Wallace has been a scoring machine, averaging 11.8 points across his last five games in front of the home crowd. When going up against the Suns, he's managed to notch 11 points in his last home outing, showing he thrives in this matchup.With a solid hit rate of 3-for-3 in his last three home games, it's clear he's found his rhythm. The numbers are even better when you consider he's averaging 8.2 points over his last five games overall. Given that the implied probability rests at 54.1% and with an expected stat value of 9.41, this bet feels like a smart play. Cason Wallace is primed to make his mark, capitalizing on the energy of the home court in a crucial game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Cason Wallace — 2024-25 season averages

Over 78 games in the 2024-25 season, Cason Wallace averaged 7.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 26.6 minutes per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 35.8% from three-point range.

7.9
PPG
3.3
RPG
2.5
APG
1.7
SPG
0.5
BPG
26.6
MPG
47.5%
FG%
35.8%
3P%

Cason Wallace — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Cason Wallace has played 18.8 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

18.8
MPG (L5)
5.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Cason Wallace — home vs away scoring

At home Cason Wallace averages 7.6 points per game; on the road, 8.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.6
PPG at home
8.3
PPG on the road

Cason Wallace — scoring by opponent

Cason Wallace scores most against the DAL, averaging 7.6 points per game in that matchup.

7.6
DAL
6.8
MEM
5.5
DEN

Cason Wallace — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Cason Wallace has averaged 5.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs DEN18422
11 May@ DEN231152
9 May@ DEN20231
7 Mayvs DEN12822
5 Mayvs DEN21323
26 Apr@ MEM21411
24 Apr@ MEM24553
22 Aprvs MEM24523
20 Aprvs MEM13223
8 Aprvs LAL271121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points 5.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -102 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 7.5 Over -137 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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