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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 8.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +17.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Cason Wallace

Oklahoma City Thunder

+17.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 8.5 -101 (1.99)
+17.7% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
67.9%
Implied Probability
50.3%
Model Edge
+17.7%
Predicted Value
11.7 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs67.9%—50.3%1.47+17.7%

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AI Analysis

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Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cason Wallace is primed to exceed the 8.5 points and rebounds mark in today's matchup against the Phoenix Suns. Playing at home, he's been a different beast, averaging 11.8 points and 3.2 rebounds over his last five games in Oklahoma City. The Thunder's home crowd elevates his game, as evidenced by his perfect hit rate in the last three home outings.Against the Suns, he's also shown he can step up, averaging 11 points and 4 rebounds in their prior encounters at home. With the Thunder looking to secure a crucial victory, expect Wallace to be a key contributor. His recent form indicates he's ready to not just meet but surpass that 8.5 threshold, making this prop bet quite enticing. With an expected stat value of 11.72, it's hard to ignore the upside here-Wallace should thrive in this crucial home setting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.1avg · last 10
L52.0Szn2.5Home2.5Away2.4Best8
2+67%
4+24%
6+6%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.1 · hi 3 · lo 1
1333132122

Cason Wallace is averaging 2.1 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 8). He clears 2+ in 67% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.5avg · last 10
L55.6Szn7.9Home7.6Away8.3Best22
3+87%
8+50%
13+21%
18+4%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 5.5 · hi 11 · lo 2
112554382114

Cason Wallace is averaging 5.5 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.9, best 22). He clears 8+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.6avg · last 10
L57.6Szn10.4Home10.1Away10.7Best26
5+87%
10+50%
15+29%
20+6%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 7.6 · hi 13 · lo 3
1258856103136

Cason Wallace is averaging 7.6 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.4, best 26). He clears 10+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
8.1avg · last 10
L58.4Szn11.2Home10.7Away11.7Best25
1+100%
6+83%
11+51%
16+24%
21+5%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 8.1 · hi 16 · lo 4
13471055105166

Cason Wallace is averaging 8.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.2, best 25). He clears 11+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
10.2avg · last 10
L510.4Szn13.7Home13.2Away14.1Best28
4+99%
9+76%
14+49%
19+23%
24+5%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 10.2 · hi 18 · lo 6
147101368126188

Cason Wallace is averaging 10.2 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.7, best 28). He clears 14+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.7avg · last 10
L54.8Szn5.7Home5.7Away5.8Best12
3+90%
6+45%
9+17%
12+1%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.7 · hi 8 · lo 2
3558254474

Cason Wallace is averaging 4.7 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.7, best 12). He clears 6+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -101 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 7.5 Over -133 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points 5.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 8.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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