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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Ingram is Under 5.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 64%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
NBA

Brandon Ingram

Toronto Raptors

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 5.5 -115 (1.87)
+10.6% Edge
Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
The Clippers are nearing a deal that would send Kawhi Leonard to the Raptors for Ingram (heel), Gradey Dick, two future first-round picks, one pick swap and two future second-rounders, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Jun 30, 7:47PM UTC · 20d old
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Model Probability
64.1%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value
4.6 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds64.1%—53.5%1.56+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Brandon Ingram (Toronto Raptors) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-115)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Raptors gear up to host the Heat, all eyes should be on Brandon Ingram's rebounding performance, particularly if you're considering the under on his props. Despite his undeniable talent, Ingram has averaged just 4.6 boards over his last five games, which dips slightly to 4.7 when playing at home. The matchup against Miami is particularly telling; he's averaged a mere 4.8 rebounds against them recently. Ingram's consistency has been shaky, hitting the under on this number in four of his last ten outings. With the Raptors' bigs controlling the paint and potentially limiting his opportunities, it seems the under 5.5 rebounds might just be the smart play. Given that his expected stat value sits at 4.63, we're betting he falls short of that mark once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.3avg · last 10
L520.2Szn22.2Home25.0Away17.9Best49
12+89%
17+78%
22+50%
27+39%
32+17%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 20.3 · hi 32 · lo 5
2011241829321718295

Brandon Ingram is averaging 20.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.2, best 49). He clears 22+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
26.0avg · last 10
L525.2Szn27.4Home30.5Away22.6Best55
17+89%
22+72%
27+50%
32+50%
37+6%
Game log vs O 26.5avg 26 · hi 40 · lo 8
2516332436402125328

Brandon Ingram is averaging 26.0 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 27.4, best 55). He clears 27+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
25.3avg · last 10
L524.2Szn27.8Home30.4Away23.7Best57
18+89%
23+67%
28+56%
33+33%
38+17%
Game log vs O 27.5avg 25.3 · hi 38 · lo 6
2516292438362221366

Brandon Ingram is averaging 25.3 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 27.8, best 57). He clears 28+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
31.0avg · last 10
L529.2Szn32.9Home35.8Away28.4Best63
23+89%
28+78%
33+56%
38+44%
43+11%
Game log vs O 32.5avg 31 · hi 45 · lo 9
3021383045442628399

Brandon Ingram is averaging 31.0 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 32.9, best 63). He clears 33+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.0avg · last 10
L54.0Szn5.6Home5.4Away5.9Best15
2+94%
4+89%
6+44%
8+17%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 5 · hi 9 · lo 1
5556945371

Brandon Ingram is averaging 5.0 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.6, best 15). He clears 6+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
10.7avg · last 10
L59.0Szn10.7Home10.8Away10.6Best21
5+94%
8+89%
11+50%
14+17%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.7 · hi 16 · lo 4
101014121612910104

Brandon Ingram is averaging 10.7 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.7, best 21). He clears 11+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds 5.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Points 24.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
06 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs 26.5 Over -123 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Brandon Ingram (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Ingram is Under 5.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors on Thursday 9 April at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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