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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Ingram is Under 5.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 64%, implied 53%, edge +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:12PM UTC
NBA

Brandon Ingram

Toronto Raptors

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 5.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
+10.6% Edge
Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
The Clippers are nearing a deal that would send Kawhi Leonard to the Raptors for Ingram (heel), Gradey Dick, two future first-round picks, one pick swap and two future second-rounders, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Jun 30, 7:47PM UTC · 61d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
4.6 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 64.1% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +10.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds64.1%53.5%1.56+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Brandon Ingram (Toronto Raptors) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-115)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Raptors gear up to host the Heat, all eyes should be on Brandon Ingram's rebounding performance, particularly if you're considering the under on his props. Despite his undeniable talent, Ingram has averaged just 4.6 boards over his last five games, which dips slightly to 4.7 when playing at home. The matchup against Miami is particularly telling; he's averaged a mere 4.8 rebounds against them recently. Ingram's consistency has been shaky, hitting the under on this number in four of his last ten outings. With the Raptors' bigs controlling the paint and potentially limiting his opportunities, it seems the under 5.5 rebounds might just be the smart play. Given that his expected stat value sits at 4.63, we're betting he falls short of that mark once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brandon Ingram — 2024-25 season averages

Over 18 games in the 2024-25 season, Brandon Ingram averaged 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists in 33.0 minutes per game, shooting 46.5% from the field and 37.4% from three-point range.

22.2
PPG
5.6
RPG
5.2
APG
0.9
SPG
0.6
BPG
33.0
MPG
46.5%
FG%
37.4%
3P%

Brandon Ingram — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Brandon Ingram has played 32.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.6
MPG (L5)
20.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Brandon Ingram — points hit rate

Brandon Ingram has scored over 15.5 points in 60% of 392 career games.

o11.577%
o12.573%
o15.560%
o20.539%
o25.521%

Brandon Ingram — home vs away scoring

At home Brandon Ingram averages 25.0 points per game; on the road, 17.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.0
PPG at home
17.9
PPG on the road

Brandon Ingram — scoring by opponent

Brandon Ingram scores most against the HOU, averaging 25.7 points per game in that matchup.

25.7
HOU
24.2
IND
24.1
TOR
23.6
PHX
23.4
UTAH
23.3
LAL

Brandon Ingram — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Brandon Ingram has averaged 20.3 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
7 Decvs OKC19513
5 Decvs PHX372973
22 Novvs GS361837
19 Nov@ DAL331754
16 Novvs LAL383248
15 Novvs DEN372997
13 Nov@ OKC351866
11 Novvs BKN352459
8 Nov@ ORL261155
6 Novvs CLE392055
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Brandon Ingram (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Ingram is Under 5.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors on Thursday 9 April at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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