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Model picks & player props
NBA
Denver Nuggets
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 16 markets for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans and backs New Orleans Pelicans hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $725.

4
Game markets graded
12
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New Orleans Pelicans
to win
New Orleans Pelicans Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$72.50Best price+625
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.1%
The price says13.8%

The model graded 16 markets for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $725 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline New Orleans Pelicans Lean48% chance +625
Team Total Members only High96% chance Members
Total Points Members only High98% chance Members
Rebs + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 98% Members
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 95% Members
Pts + Asts × 2 props Highup to 90% Members
Pts + Rebs × 3 props Highup to 91% Members
Assists × 1 prop Highup to 84% Members
Rebounds × 1 prop Highup to 71% Members
Points × 3 props Highup to 91% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
New Orleans Pelicans
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 12 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,711+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New Orleans PelicansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Denver Nuggets

  • Alpha Diallo FOut
  • Spencer Jones FOut
  • Julian Strawther GOut

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Yves Missi COut
  • Jordan Poole GOut
Availability updated Oct 31, 12:42AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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The preview

Written 29 Oct

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

On October 28, 2026 our model has run Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nikola Jokic Under 35.5 Pts + Asts (+115), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 35.5 Pts + Asts (+115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nikola Jokic has been playing well, but he faces a tricky matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans. They are known for their strong defense, which might make it tough for him to rack up points and assists. Plus, the Nuggets tend to allow a lot of three-point attempts, which can lead to more defensive rebounds for the Pelicans, limiting Jokic's opportunities. Betting the under on Jokic's points and assists at 35.5 seems like a smart choice. The Pelicans might keep him from having a big game, especially since both teams are pretty close in how they defend. The biggest concern is that Jokic can sometimes surprise us with his skills, but with the way the Pelicans are playing, this bet feels solid.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 48.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (+115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nikola Jokic has been a star for the Denver Nuggets, but he might have a tough time against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are known for their solid defense, which could limit his scoring and assist chances. Jokic has been averaging under 48.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists lately, and the Pelicans' pressure can make it even harder for him to rack up big numbers. While Jokic is a great player, the Nuggets often struggle with turnovers, and the Pelicans could capitalize on that. Plus, Denver allows a good number of rebounds, which might spread the stats around rather than letting Jokic dominate. He'll have a challenge against a well-rested and motivated team, so betting the under on his combined total feels like a smart move.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 21.5 Rebs + Asts (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nikola Jokic has been on fire lately, but the matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans might not be as favorable for him. The Pelicans are tough on the boards, and Denver has a history of allowing a fair number of rebounds. Jokic's ability to rack up both rebounds and assists is impressive, but it's important to note that the Pelicans can challenge him more than usual. With the bet set at under 21.5 combined rebounds and assists, it feels like a strong play. Jokic might face a tougher time finding his usual rhythm against a team that plays solid defense. The risk here is that Jokic could still manage to have a standout game, but the numbers suggest he may have a little trouble hitting that mark tonight.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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Same game parlay

Written 29 Oct

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Thursday 29 October 2026, New Orleans Pelicans play Denver Nuggets in the NBA. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 21.5 Rebounds + Assists, priced at +120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 21.5 Rebounds + Assists (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Pelicans play Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Thursday 29 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 21.5 Rebounds + Assists. It was priced at +120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (+115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Pelicans play Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Thursday 29 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists. It was priced at +115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 38.5 Points + Rebounds (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Pelicans play Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Thursday 29 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 38.5 Points + Rebounds. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New Orleans Pelicans v Denver Nuggets. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Rebs + Asts
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Assists

+ 12 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDenver Nuggets @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Denver Nuggets; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Denver Nuggets; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Denver Nuggets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Denver Nuggets totalNo line posted

Denver Nuggets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans — 4 on the game itself and 12 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
12
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans — recent results

New Orleans Pelicans have won 1 of their last 5 games; Denver Nuggets have won 3 of their last 5.

New Orleans Pelicans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W132–120SACHome
L91–104DENHome
L135–141DENAway
L119–120UTAHAway
L120–123INDHome
Denver Nuggets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W104–91NOAway
L114–134GSHome
W141–135NOHome
L84–96OKCAway
W121–106LALAway

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New Orleans Pelicans won 0, Denver Nuggets won 3.

DateNew Orleans PelicansDenver NuggetsWinner
Oct 2991104Denver Nuggets
Oct 25135141Denver Nuggets
Jan 14116122Denver Nuggets

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerStatus
Yves Missi COUT
Jordan Poole GOUT
Denver Nuggets
PlayerStatus
Alpha Diallo FOUT
Spencer Jones FOUT
Julian Strawther GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

New Orleans Pelicans v Denver Nuggets, 29 October 2026. Top of the list: Jeremiah Fears (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds.

On October 28, 2026 our model has run Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nikola Jokic Under 35.5 Pts + Asts (+115), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Nuggets vs Pelicans, or as Pelicans vs Nuggets. The model has generated 4 game picks and 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 28 Oct 2026Denver Nuggets beat New Orleans Pelicans 104-91 on the road
  • 24 Oct 2026Denver Nuggets beat New Orleans Pelicans 141-135 at home
  • 13 Jan 2026Denver Nuggets beat New Orleans Pelicans 122-116 on the road

Denver Nuggets: last 5 results

  1. 30 Oct 2026Wonat Phoenix Suns 127-120
  2. 28 Oct 2026Wonat New Orleans Pelicans 104-91
  3. 26 Oct 2026Lostvs Golden State Warriors 114-134
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs New Orleans Pelicans 141-135
  5. 22 Oct 2026Lostat Oklahoma City Thunder 84-96

New Orleans Pelicans: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Sacramento Kings 132-120
  2. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Denver Nuggets 91-104
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Denver Nuggets 135-141
  4. 23 Oct 2026Lostat Utah Jazz 119-120
  5. 21 Oct 2026Lostvs Indiana Pacers 120-123

Quick answers

Who won the last New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets game? Denver Nuggets won their last meeting 104-91 on 28 October 2026.

How have Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans done lately? Denver Nuggets won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. New Orleans Pelicans won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Denver Nuggets 3–0 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 29 Oct 2026, Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans: the Nuggets won 104-91.

DateGameScoreWinner
29 Oct 2026Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans91–104Denver Nuggets
25 Oct 2026New Orleans Pelicans @ Denver Nuggets141–135Denver Nuggets
14 Jan 2026Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans116–122Denver Nuggets
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