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Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets

+15.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +100 (2.00)
+15.0% Edge
San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Sat 4 Apr, 7:00PM
Model Probability
65.0%
Implied Probability
50.0%
Model Edge
+15.0%
Predicted Value
22.2 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Aaron Gordon (Denver Nuggets) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs at home, all eyes should be on Aaron Gordon and the opportunity he presents for a solid player prop bet on points plus rebounds over 19.5. Despite averaging 13.4 points and 4.6 rebounds in his last five games, Gordon has shown a knack for stepping up in crucial moments-particularly at home, where he's averaged 11.4 points and 4.8 rebounds. Against the Spurs, he's historically fared even better, tallying around 13.6 points and 6.4 boards at home in their recent matchups. With a hit rate of two out of three in his last three home games, the stars align for Gordon to surpass that 19.5 mark. Given the Nuggets' emphasis on a strong offensive showing, expect Gordon to capitalize on his home-court advantage and deliver a performance that exceeds expectations.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +100 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 4.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Aaron Gordon (Denver Nuggets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Aaron Gordon is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets on Saturday 4 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.