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Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets

+21.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 12.5 -105 (1.95)
+21.0% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Tue 21 Apr, 2:30AM
Model Probability
72.3%
Implied Probability
51.3%
Model Edge
+21.0%
Predicted Value
15.9 Points

AI Analysis

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Aaron Gordon (Denver Nuggets) Over 12.5 Points (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes should be on Aaron Gordon to eclipse the 12.5 points mark. He's found his groove lately, averaging 14.6 points over his last five home games, showcasing a knack for stepping up in front of the Denver crowd. What's particularly telling is his performance against the Timberwolves; he's lit them up for an average of 21.2 points in their last five matchups, a testament to his ability to exploit their defensive lapses. Considering he's hit the over in four of his last six games overall and three of four at home, it's clear Gordon is in a favorable spot. With an expected stat value of 15.93, this bet leans strongly in our favor. As the Nuggets look to assert their dominance, expect Gordon to be a pivotal player in their offensive strategy.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -104 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 4.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Aaron Gordon (Denver Nuggets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Aaron Gordon is Over 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Tuesday 21 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.