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NBA

Pat Spencer

Golden State Warriors

+23.3% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Points Over 5.5 +114 (2.14)
+23.3% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco
Mon 6 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
70.0%
Implied Probability
46.7%
Model Edge
+23.3%
Predicted Value
8.5 Points

AI Analysis

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Pat Spencer (Golden State Warriors) Over 5.5 Points (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Houston Rockets, all eyes should be on Pat Spencer. With the home crowd on his side, Spencer has been a scoring machine lately, averaging 10 points in his last five games. Specifically, against the Rockets, he's put up an average of 7.2 points, but that number jumps to 10 when playing at home.What's truly impressive is his recent form; he's hit the over on 5.5 points in all four of his last outings, showcasing a perfect record. Plus, he's done so effortlessly at home, going 3-for-3 in his last three games. Given his expected stat value of 8.55 and a model edge of 23.3%, it seems like a no-brainer to back Spencer to continue his scoring streak. With the crowd roaring, the over on 5.5 points feels like a solid bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 100.0% (5/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors Points 5.5 Over +114 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors Points 4.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds 3.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors 3-Pointers — — — Pending
22 Feb 26 Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors 3-Pointers — — — Pending

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About This Player

Pat Spencer (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (5/5). Pat Spencer is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Pat Spencer is Over 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.3% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors on Monday 6 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.