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The latest Bet Better model pick for Moses Moody is Under 12.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +18.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:17PM UTC
NBA

Moses Moody

Golden State Warriors

+18.1% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 12.5 -161 (1.62)
+18.1% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Sun 1 Mar, 1:30AM
OUT
Moody has been diagnosed with a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Mar 24, 8:48PM UTC · 118d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.8%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+18.1%
Predicted Value
7.6 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points79.8%—61.7%1.25+18.1%

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AI Analysis

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Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors) Under 12.5 Points (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Moses Moody's scoring trend for the Golden State Warriors has been a bit somber recently, especially when they face off against the Los Angeles Lakers. He's been averaging a mere 3.6 points overall in his last five games, and even at home, this only nudges up a little to 5.2 points. The Lakers' defense seems to have his number, holding him to an average of 6.8 points, and it's even lower when he's playing in the heart of Golden State - a humble 6 points. Now, he's expected to stay under 12.5 points in the upcoming showdown, a target that seems daunting given his recent form. The stats are screaming a loud and clear 'Under' for Moses Moody. The Golden State Warriors may be his team, but Lady Luck, it seems, is not on his side when it comes to racking up points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.2avg · last 10
L50.2Szn1.6Home1.8Away1.5Best6
1+79%
2+45%
3+28%
4+8%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
3113300001

Moses Moody is averaging 1.2 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 6). He clears 2+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.6avg · last 10
L51.2Szn9.4Home9.3Away9.4Best30
4+79%
9+56%
14+22%
19+7%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 6.6 · hi 25 · lo 0
1273251300303

Moses Moody is averaging 6.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.4, best 30). He clears 9+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.3avg · last 10
L51.2Szn2.5Home2.5Away2.5Best9
1+90%
3+38%
5+14%
7+5%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.3 · hi 9 · lo 0
2319230201

Moses Moody is averaging 2.3 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 9). He clears 3+ in 38% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Points 12.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves 3-Pointers 2.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 3.5 Under -175 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Moses Moody is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Moses Moody is Under 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors on Sunday 1 March at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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