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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Moses Moody is Under 12.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 80%, implied 62%, edge +18.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 8:52PM UTC
NBA

Moses Moody

Golden State Warriors

+18.1% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 12.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+18.1% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Sun 1 Mar, 1:30AM
OUT
Moody has been diagnosed with a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Mar 24, 8:48PM UTC · 160d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
7.6 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.8% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +18.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points79.8%61.7%1.25+18.1%

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AI Analysis

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Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors) Under 12.5 Points (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Moses Moody's scoring trend for the Golden State Warriors has been a bit somber recently, especially when they face off against the Los Angeles Lakers. He's been averaging a mere 3.6 points overall in his last five games, and even at home, this only nudges up a little to 5.2 points. The Lakers' defense seems to have his number, holding him to an average of 6.8 points, and it's even lower when he's playing in the heart of Golden State - a humble 6 points. Now, he's expected to stay under 12.5 points in the upcoming showdown, a target that seems daunting given his recent form. The stats are screaming a loud and clear 'Under' for Moses Moody. The Golden State Warriors may be his team, but Lady Luck, it seems, is not on his side when it comes to racking up points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Moses Moody — 2024-25 season averages

Over 86 games in the 2024-25 season, Moses Moody averaged 9.4 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 21.7 minutes per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 36.6% from three-point range.

9.4
PPG
2.5
RPG
1.3
APG
0.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
21.7
MPG
42.4%
FG%
36.6%
3P%

Moses Moody — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Moses Moody has played 9.2 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

9.2
MPG (L5)
1.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Moses Moody — home vs away scoring

At home Moses Moody averages 9.3 points per game; on the road, 9.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.3
PPG at home
9.4
PPG on the road

Moses Moody — scoring by opponent

Moses Moody scores most against the POR, averaging 10.2 points per game in that matchup.

10.2
POR
9.8
SA
8.9
NO
8.3
MEM
7.7
SAC
7.5
HOU

Moses Moody — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Moses Moody has averaged 6.6 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs MIN7313
10 Mayvs MIN3000
8 May@ MIN16321
6 May@ MIN9000
4 May@ HOU11030
2 Mayvs HOU221321
30 Apr@ HOU262592
28 Aprvs HOU12311
26 Aprvs HOU23732
23 Apr@ HOU241221
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Points 12.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves 3-Pointers 2.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 3.5 Under -175 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Moses Moody is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Moses Moody is Under 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors on Sunday 1 March at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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