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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Johnson is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +25.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:16PM UTC
MLB

Ryan Johnson

MLB

+25.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
+25.8% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 4:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.6%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+25.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed84.6%—58.8%1.18+25.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/4
Last 10 games0/4

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Johnson Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Baltimore Orioles play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Johnson Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-143). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Earned Runs 3.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -109 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Ryan Johnson is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Johnson is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles on Thursday 6 August at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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