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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Denzer Guzman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 45%, implied 46%, edge -2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 1Blanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 12, 7:58PM UTC
MLB

Denzer Guzman

LAA

-2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +116 (2.16) · $100→$216
-2.5% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 29 of 156 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 43.8% · the book's price implies 46.3% · gap -2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits43.8%45.3%46.3%2.21-2.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/6

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AI Analysis

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Denzer Guzman (LAA) Under 0.5 Hits (+116)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Washington Nationals play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Denzer Guzman (LAA) Under 0.5 Hits (+116). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Denzer Guzman's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits 0.5
-161 best over price · 11 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games6 in a rowHow many home runs does Denzer Guzman hit?

Denzer Guzman's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -161 across 11 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Batter Doubles 0.5
+475 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 1 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Denzer Guzman hit?

Denzer Guzman's batter doubles line is 0.5, best over price +475 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 1 of his last 10 games.

Batter Walks 0.5
+220 best over price · 5 booksWent over in 1 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Denzer Guzman hit?

Denzer Guzman's batter walks line is 0.5, best over price +220 across 5 books. He has gone over it in 1 of his last 10 games.

Batter Stolen Bases 0.5
+1050 best over price · 5 booksWent over in 0 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Denzer Guzman hit?

Denzer Guzman's batter stolen bases line is 0.5, best over price +1050 across 5 books. He has gone over it in 0 of his last 10 games.

Batter Singles 0.5
+110 best over price · 5 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 games6 in a rowHow many home runs does Denzer Guzman hit?

Denzer Guzman's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price +110 across 5 books. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+230 best over price · 10 booksWent over in 2 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Denzer Guzman hit?

Denzer Guzman's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +230 across 10 books. He has gone over it in 2 of his last 10 games.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5

Denzer Guzman's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Denzer Guzman has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.570%
o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.510%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -400 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals Batter - Home Runs 0.5 Over +980 ✗ MISS
11 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits Pending
09 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits Pending
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Denzer Guzman (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Denzer Guzman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals on Saturday 12 September at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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