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The latest Bet Better model pick for Vaughn Grissom is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 66%, for a model edge of +7.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 14, 9:34AM UTC
MLB

Vaughn Grissom

LAA

+7.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -196 (1.51)
+7.1% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Sun 12 Jul, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.3%
Implied Probability
66.2%
Model Edge
+7.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases73.3%—66.2%1.36+7.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/4
Last 10 games0/4

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AI Analysis

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Vaughn Grissom (LAA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Twins prepare to host the Angels, Vaughn Grissom’s recent form raises eyebrows, particularly when considering his matchup against Minnesota’s reliable pitching staff. With a solid rotation, the Twins have kept opposing hitters in check, showcasing a stingy 3.75 team ERA at home. Grissom, while promising, has struggled against right-handed pitchers, posting an underwhelming .230 batting average in those matchups this season. Additionally, the Twins have excelled at limiting extra-base hits, ranking among the top five teams in the league for fewest total bases allowed. With this being a pivotal game and the Twins looking to bolster their playoff hopes, expect them to come out with an aggressive approach on the mound. Given these dynamics, betting on Grissom to finish with under 1.5 total bases seems prudent—he's likely to find it tough against a disciplined Twins staff ready to stifle his efforts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.538%

Vaughn Grissom MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.513%
O 2.513%
O 3.513%

Vaughn Grissom MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.513%

Vaughn Grissom MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
63%hit L10
Streak2
O 0.563%
O 1.538%
O 2.538%

Vaughn Grissom MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 63% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%

Vaughn Grissom MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%

Vaughn Grissom MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -196 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 4.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits — — — Pending
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Vaughn Grissom (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Vaughn Grissom is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins on Sunday 12 July at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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