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The latest Bet Better model pick for Vaughn Grissom is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 95%, for a model edge of +4.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 3, 1:04PM UTC
MLB

Vaughn Grissom

MLB

+4.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+4.3% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 7:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.5%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+4.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks99.5%95.2%1.01+4.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/7

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AI Analysis

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Vaughn Grissom Under 1.5 Walks (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Los Angeles Angels host the Milwaukee Brewers, all eyes will be on Vaughn Grissom, but not for his walks. While Grissom has shown flashes of potential at the plate, his recent form suggests a different narrative. He’s been more aggressive lately, swinging at pitches rather than waiting for his walks. When you consider the match-up against the Brewers’ pitching, particularly their ability to generate swings and misses, it reinforces this trend. Milwaukee's arms have been effective at limiting free passes, leading the league in fewest walks allowed. Plus, Grissom has averaged just under a walk per game in his recent outings. Given the combination of his current approach at the plate and the Brewers’ stingy pitching, taking the under on Grissom’s walks feels like a smart play. It’s a classic case of recent trends aligning with solid matchup data.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2063%
O 0.580%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 1 · lo 0
101

Vaughn Grissom MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 1.550%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.7 · hi 3 · lo 0
320

Vaughn Grissom MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Vaughn Grissom MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2063%
O 0.580%
O 1.530%
O 2.530%
O 3.530%
O 4.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 4 · lo 0
040

Vaughn Grissom MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 2 · lo 0
200

Vaughn Grissom MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.520%

Vaughn Grissom MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.6 · hi 2 · lo 0
10200

Vaughn Grissom MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak2L2056%
O 0.560%
O 1.510%

Vaughn Grissom MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Walks 1.5 Under -2000 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -667 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Singles Pending
02 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Total Bases Pending
02 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Vaughn Grissom is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Vaughn Grissom is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 2 August at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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