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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin Gausman is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 15.50 Outslanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 3:15PM UTC
MLB

Kevin Gausman

TOR

Value call

Kevin Gausman has one live pick today: Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 that pays $205 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 +105 (2.05) · $100→$205
Value call
Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Tue 15 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Pitcher - Walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.9% · before adjusting for past results 50.1% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap -2.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks50.1%45.9%48.8%2.19+1.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+105)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+105). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Kevin Gausman is averaging 4.2 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.2
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
2.4
Runs
1.2
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Kevin Gausman has gone over 3.5 SO in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o3.560%
o4.530%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Kevin Gausman is averaging 4.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.8 in home games, including his recent form against SEA.

4.2
Hits · Overall
4.8
Hits · Home
6.0
Hits · vs SEA
0.8
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Home
1.3
HR · vs SEA
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Walks Pending
15 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending
03 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
29 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Kevin Gausman (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kevin Gausman is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs on Tuesday 15 September at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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