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Kevin Gausman

TOR

Value call

Kevin Gausman has one live pick today: over 14.5 outs recorded that pays $217 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
16.3 outs recorded
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.3% · before adjusting for past results 66.3% · the book's price implies 46.1% · gap +0.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Wed 30 Sep, 10:00 PM ET
Kevin Gausman
over 14.5 outs recorded
Pitcher - Outs Over 14.5 +117 (2.17) · $100→$217
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.70 Odds+117
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin Gausman is Over 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 46%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 3:25AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs66.3%46.3%46.1%2.22+20.2%

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AI Analysis

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San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs: Kevin Gausman Over 14.5 Pitcher - Outs (+117)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Kevin Gausman has been on fire lately, hitting about 1.7 times his usual rate for getting hits. The Padres are winning often, with 8 out of their last 10 games going in their favor. Plus, they've been strong at home, winning 7 of their last 8 games. This all adds up to a lot of momentum for Gausman tonight. The wind is blowing out toward the outfield, which makes it easier for hitters to get those big plays. However, Gausman has only averaged 0.3 hits over his last 3 games, which is a concrete risk to consider. Still, with how well he's been performing overall and the conditions tonight, taking the over on 14.5 outs seems like a solid bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Kevin Gausman average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Over +117 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Over -145 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kevin Gausman (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kevin Gausman is Over 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres on Wednesday 30 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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