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The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael McGreevy is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +29.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 23, 7:47AM UTC
MLB

Michael McGreevy

MLB

+29.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -167 (1.60)
+29.6% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Thu 23 Jul, 9:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.1%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+29.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts92.1%—62.5%1.09+29.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/8

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AI Analysis

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Michael McGreevy (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cardinals host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Michael McGreevy, but taking the 'Under 3.5' on his strikeouts could be the savvy play here. Sure, McGreevy has shown flashes of brilliance, but recent trends tell another story. The Diamondbacks have turned into a formidable offense, ranking among the top in the league in contact rate and swinging less at pitches outside the zone. This disciplined approach has made life tough for opposing pitchers, and McGreevy, a young arm still finding his footing, may struggle to rack up strikeouts against such a patient lineup. Furthermore, with the Cardinals' bullpen being heavily relied upon, McGreevy may not see a long outing, limiting his strikeout potential even further. Given his recent strikeout averages and the way the Diamondbacks have been hitting, expect him to stay under that 3.5 threshold tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Pitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming gameU 3.5 -167+29.6% edge
100%hit L10
Streak8

Michael McGreevy MLB strikeouts: cleared under 3.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 3.5 at -167 (+29.6% model edge).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Michael McGreevy is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael McGreevy is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.6% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday 23 July at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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