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The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael McGreevy is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +19.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 9:51AM UTC
MLB

Michael McGreevy

MLB

+19.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+19.7% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 574 of 1,083 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
81.4%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+19.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks81.4%61.7%1.23+19.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/8

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AI Analysis

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Michael McGreevy Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael McGreevy Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-161). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Michael McGreevy has gone over 1.5 SO in 75% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.575%
o2.575%
o3.538%
o4.512%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -161 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
03 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
03 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
23 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending

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About This Player

Michael McGreevy is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael McGreevy is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.7% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday 9 August at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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