Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 5 Apr 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Miami Marlins
VS
New York Yankees

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 35 markets for Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees and backs Over 10 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $304.

20
Game markets graded
15
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 10 total runs
Over 10 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$30.40Best price+204
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.1%
The price says32.9%

The model graded 35 markets for Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $304 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 5 Apr 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 10 Lean52% chance +204
Total Runs Members only High61% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean43% chance Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 3 props Highup to 73% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Singles × 3 props Highup to 74% Members
Batter - Hits × 3 props Highup to 83% Members
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Highup to 91% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Miami Marlins and New York Yankees last met on Sun 5 Apr 2026: Miami Marlins won 7-6. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
10
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 15 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,357+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Show me the best prices
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Marlins

  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Jakob Marsee CFOut

New York Yankees

  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
Availability updated Nov 10, 9:43PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Chris Paddack Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Aaron Judge NYY Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Giancarlo Stanton NYY Batter - Total Bases
Jakob Marsee Batter - Singles
Cody Bellinger LAD Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 15 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Miami Marlins L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Miami Marlins L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Miami MarlinsNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
4.1runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Miami Marlins L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 35 betting markets for Miami Marlins at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 15 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
15
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 35 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 34 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Miami Marlins have won 3 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3ATLHome
L3–8ATLHome
W3–0ATLHome
L1–2CHCAway
W3–2CHCAway

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 4.8 runs per game (5-0) while Miami Marlins are at 5.8 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Miami Marlins.

4.8
New York Yankees runs/G
5.8
Miami Marlins runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesMiami Marlins
Runs / game4.85.8
Hits / game3.65.4
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game2.01.6
Batter K / game5.24.0
Earned runs allowed / game0.82.2
Pitching K / game3.04.4
Walks allowed / game1.01.6
L5 record5-03-2

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 2, Miami Marlins won 1.

DateNew York YankeesMiami MarlinsWinner
Apr 567Miami Marlins
Apr 497New York Yankees
Apr 382New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Max Fried SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Andrew Nardi RPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Ronny Henriquez RPOUT
William Kempner RPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Jakob Marsee CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for New York Yankees playing Miami Marlins. Includes analysis on key players like Xavier Edwards. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins stats and odds.

Xavier Edwards (NA) Over 0.5 Hits (-175)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Yankees prepare to host the Marlins, all eyes should be on Xavier Edwards, who has been turning heads lately. With a solid contact rate and a batting average that’s climbed steadily, he’s been a rising star in the lineup. Facing a Miami pitching staff that struggles with left-handed hitters, Edwards has an ideal opportunity to capitalize on his strengths today. He’s been consistently getting on base, and his approach at the plate suggests he’s well-positioned to find gaps in the Yankees’ defense. The Marlins’ tendency to give up hits, especially to dynamic players like Edwards, adds to the intrigue. With the Yankees’ powerful offense creating pressure, he’ll likely see plenty of pitches to hit. Expect him to notch at least one hit as he continues to ride this wave of momentum, making the 'Over 0.5' bet not just enticing, but likely a smart play.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Marlins vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Marlins. The most recent game between them was Sunday 5 April 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 5 Apr 2026Miami Marlins beat New York Yankees 7-6 on the road
  • 4 Apr 2026New York Yankees beat Miami Marlins 9-7 at home
  • 3 Apr 2026New York Yankees beat Miami Marlins 8-2 at home

Miami Marlins: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs Atlanta Braves 5-3
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs Atlanta Braves 3-8
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonvs Atlanta Braves 3-0
  4. 24 Sep 2026Lostat Chicago Cubs 1-2
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonat Chicago Cubs 3-2

New York Yankees: last 5 results

  1. 7 Oct 2026Lostvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-4
  2. 5 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 2-5
  3. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 0-1
  4. 30 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-2
  5. 29 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-0

Quick answers

Who won the last New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins game? Miami Marlins won their last meeting 7-6 on 5 April 2026.

How have Miami Marlins and New York Yankees done lately? Miami Marlins won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. New York Yankees won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees: the season so far

From every final score this season

Miami Marlins are 80-82 this season and New York Yankees are 95-71. New York Yankees are 48-35 at home. Miami Marlins are 33-48 on the road. New York Yankees score 4.6 runs a game and let in 3.7. Miami Marlins score 4.4 and let in 4.4. New York Yankees games have averaged 8.3 runs in total; Miami Marlins games have averaged 8.8. New York Yankees have lost their last 3.

SeasonMiami MarlinsNew York Yankees
Won-lost80-8295-71
At home47-3448-35
On the road33-4847-36
Last 105-55-5
Runs scored a game4.44.6
Runs let in a game4.43.7
Runs scored at home4.54.8
Runs scored away4.44.3
Against winning sides33-4734-34
Current runWon 1Lost 3
Biggest win12-0 vs Atlanta Braves16-1 vs Boston Red Sox
Heaviest loss13-1 vs Pittsburgh Pirates12-2 vs New York Mets

Teams they have both played

  • Against Tampa Bay Rays: New York Yankees lost 3-4 at home; Miami Marlins won 4-1 at home.
  • Against Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees won 9-2 at home; Miami Marlins won 4-0 at home.
  • Against Baltimore Orioles: New York Yankees won 6-3 at home; Miami Marlins won 4-3 at home.

Quick answers

How are New York Yankees doing this season? New York Yankees are 95-71 this season: 48-35 at home and 47-36 on the road.

How many runs do Miami Marlins score a game? Miami Marlins score 4.4 runs a game this season and let in 4.4, across 162 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 15 meetings on record
Miami Marlins 8–6 across the last 15 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 9.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 5 Apr 2026, Miami Marlins at New York Yankees: the Marlins won 7-6.

DateGameScoreWinner
5 Apr 2026Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees6–7Miami Marlins
4 Apr 2026Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees9–7New York Yankees
3 Apr 2026Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees8–2New York Yankees
3 Aug 2025New York Yankees @ Miami Marlins7–3Miami Marlins
2 Aug 2025New York Yankees @ Miami Marlins2–0Miami Marlins
1 Aug 2025New York Yankees @ Miami Marlins13–12Miami Marlins
25 Mar 2025New York Yankees @ Miami Marlins4–2Miami Marlins
10 Apr 2024Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees2–5Miami Marlins
9 Apr 2024Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees3–2New York Yankees
8 Apr 2024Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees7–0New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 15 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.