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Aaron Judge

NYY

+19.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -244 (1.41)
+19.4% Edge
Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Fri 17 Apr, 11:05PM
Model Probability
90.3%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+19.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Aaron Judge (NYY) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees square off against the Royals, all eyes will be on Aaron Judge, but don't be surprised if he struggles to find his rhythm at the plate tonight. The big slugger has been facing some fierce pitching lately, and with Kansas City's starter showing impressive form, the odds might not be in Judge's favor. Consider that the Royals' pitching staff has been quietly effective, especially against right-handed hitters. Judge's recent performance reflects a troubling trend, where he’s been hitting well under the radar. In the past week, he’s averaged less than one hit per game, a stark reminder that even the best can have off nights. With Judge projected to record just 0.61 hits, the under on 1.5 seems like the play. As the game unfolds, the Royals' steady arms might just keep Judge grounded this time around.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits 0.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Over +107 ✗ MISS
26 Mar 26 New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits Pending

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About This Player

Aaron Judge (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Aaron Judge is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.4% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees on Friday 17 April at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.