Chris Paddack (NA) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+121)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Yankees host the Marlins, keep an eye on Chris Paddack and his ability to limit hits. Paddack has been quietly impressive, particularly in recent outings where he's showcased his knack for keeping batters off balance. With a lineup that struggles against right-handed pitchers, the Marlins are likely to find Paddack’s repertoire challenging.
Historically, Paddack has averaged around 3.45 hits allowed per start this season, which comfortably sits below the 4.5 mark. New York's potent offense may create run-scoring opportunities, but their tendency to be patient at the plate could lead to fewer contact moments for Paddack.
Moreover, the Marlins’ lack of offensive firepower—particularly against pitchers who can change speeds effectively—adds to the narrative. With an implied probability suggesting that hitting the under is quite favorable, betting on Paddack to keep the Marlins contained feels like the right play here.