Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jakob Marsee is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 83%, edge +10.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 1:10PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases
Under 0.5
-476 (1.21) · $100→$121
+10.0% Edge
Miami Marlins
@
Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Fri 14 Aug, 10:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 643 of 1,242 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
93 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 92.6% · the book's price implies 82.6% · gap +10.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Stolen Bases | 92.6% | — | 82.6% | 1.08 | +10.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Cincinnati Reds play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at -476 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases
Jakob Marsee has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o1.520%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.510%
Jakob Marsee is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jakob Marsee is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +10.0% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds on Friday 14 August at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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