Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
MLB

Jared Jones

PIT

Value call

Jared Jones has one live pick today: over 1.5 walks allowed that pays $209 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
1.9 walks allowed
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.8% · before adjusting for past results 55.5% · the book's price implies 47.8% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Jared Jones
over 1.5 walks allowed
Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 +109 (2.09) · $100→$209
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.90 Odds+109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jared Jones is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:33PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks55.5%45.8%47.8%2.25+7.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Jared Jones Over 1.5 Pitcher - Walks (+109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For this game, Jared Jones needs to walk at least two batters for this bet to win. He has shown some struggles on the mound, which can lead to giving up walks. The Tigers have been a bit inconsistent lately, winning just 1 out of their last 5 games, but they are still capable of getting on base and putting pressure on pitchers. Playing at Comerica Park, where the home runs are less likely to happen, means that the Tigers might focus on getting runners on without the long balls. With the matchup being close to a coin flip, it's possible that Jones could find himself in tough spots, leading to those walks. The risk is that he might have a good outing and limit the walks, but with his recent form, there's a decent chance he struggles tonight.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts 7.5 Over +390 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts 8.5 Over +780 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Over +190 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
22 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jared Jones (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jared Jones is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers on Sunday 27 September at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.