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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Boston Red Sox

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:46AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Fenway Park, Boston
Outdoor
Mon 7 Jul 2025, 11:10PM
2
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Colorado Rockies Moneyline +189

The model graded 3 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $289 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 7 Jul 2025, 11:10PM at Fenway Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win41.9%
The price says34.6%
Best price+189
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Colorado Rockies Lean42% chance +189
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 70%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Colorado Rockies
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP

Boston Red Sox

  • Willson Contreras 1BDay-to-day
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Curtis Mead 3BOut
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2BOut
  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ranger Suarez SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 9:52PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Brenton Doyle COL Batter - Hits

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBoston Red SoxNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA0.6Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1Free board8-6

Boston Red Sox moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBoston Red Sox run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA0.6Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Boston Red Sox spread form: last five 3-2, 2.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Boston Red Sox vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Boston Red Sox total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBoston Red Sox team totalNo line posted
1.3runs we expect
L5 RF2.0L5 RA0.6Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Boston Red Sox team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.0 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Boston Red Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Boston Red Sox — 2 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox — recent results

Boston Red Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5.

Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9NYYAway
W6–0NYYAway
L0–1NYYAway
L0–4MIAAway
W7–3MIAAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.2 runs per game (4-1) while Colorado Rockies are at 4.3 (2-3); Boston Red Sox pitchers are allowing 2.6 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for Colorado Rockies.

5.2
Boston Red Sox runs/G
4.3
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesBoston Red SoxColorado Rockies
Runs / game5.24.3
Hits / game6.85.6
Home runs / game1.40.6
Walks drawn / game4.23.9
Batter K / game6.08.0
Earned runs allowed / game2.62.8
Pitching K / game6.45.1
Walks allowed / game2.83.2
L5 record4-12-3

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Boston Red Sox won 1, Colorado Rockies won 2.

DateBoston Red SoxColorado RockiesWinner
Jun 2452Boston Red Sox
Jun 2468Colorado Rockies
Jun 2323Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Willson Contreras 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Tanner Houck SPOUT
Curtis Mead 3BOUT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2BOUT
Garrett Crochet SPOUT
Masataka Yoshida DHOUT
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Triston Casas 1BOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Boston Red Sox — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Brenton Doyle. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies : Colorado Rockies Win (+198)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the Colorado Rockies is supported by their strong performance on the road. Despite the Boston Red Sox's impressive home record, the Rockies have been able to maintain a lower overall runs allowed average (3.2) compared to the Red Sox's 2.8. This suggests that the Rockies' defense has been performing well. Moreover, the Rockies have been limiting their opponents to an average of 4.8 runs in their last five away games, which is lower than the Red Sox's home runs scored average of 5.2. This indicates that the Rockies have a good chance of suppressing the Red Sox's offense. Furthermore, the Rockies' overall runs scored average of 4.3 is not far from the Red Sox's 5.2, implying that they can keep up with the Red Sox's offensive production. Therefore, the bet on the Rockies is statistically justified.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Sox, or as Sox vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Monday 7 July 2025 at Fenway Park. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Even at 6–6 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 11.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Jun 2026Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies2–5Boston Red Sox
23 Jun 2026Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies3–2Colorado Rockies
22 Jun 2026Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies3–2Colorado Rockies
9 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Boston Red Sox10–2Boston Red Sox
8 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Boston Red Sox10–2Boston Red Sox
7 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Boston Red Sox9–3Boston Red Sox
24 Jul 2024Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies20–7Colorado Rockies
23 Jul 2024Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies0–6Boston Red Sox
22 Jul 2024Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies9–8Colorado Rockies
14 Jun 2023Colorado Rockies @ Boston Red Sox6–3Boston Red Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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