On August 22, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 5 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-154), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Max Kepler (MIN) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Max Kepler (MIN) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dylan Cease Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Dylan Cease Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+110). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Henry Bolte Under 0.5 Hits (+130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Athletics in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Henry Bolte Under 0.5 Hits (+130). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhett Lowder (CIN) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Rhett Lowder (CIN) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+100). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 0.5 Singles (+127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Diego Padres play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 0.5 Singles (+127). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at +127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chicago White Sox play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-154). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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