On August 20, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 6 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Andrew Alvarez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-154), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Andrew Alvarez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Texas Rangers play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Andrew Alvarez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-154). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Walks (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Walks (-149). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ian Seymour Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ian Seymour Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+111). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gage Jump Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Kansas City Royals play Athletics in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Gage Jump Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-119). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) Under 0.5 Walks (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cleveland Guardians play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) Under 0.5 Walks (-152). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gerrit Cole (NYY) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Baltimore Orioles play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Gerrit Cole (NYY) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-133). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -133 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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