On August 18, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 6 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Singles (-149), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Merrill Kelly (TEX) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Merrill Kelly (TEX) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-101). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Total Bases (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Total Bases (-143). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Singles (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Baltimore Orioles play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Singles (-149). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

J.T. Realmuto (PHI) Under 0.5 Singles (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Phillies play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is J.T. Realmuto (PHI) Under 0.5 Singles (-147). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kazuma Okamoto (TOR) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+146)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kazuma Okamoto (TOR) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+146). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +146 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Salvador Perez (KCR) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+111)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Kansas City Royals play Athletics in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Salvador Perez (KCR) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+111). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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