On Friday 4 September 2026, Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Brodie Kemp (Carlton) Over 9.5 Disposals, priced at -156 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Brodie Kemp (Carlton) Over 9.5 Disposals (-156)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Brodie Kemp (Carlton) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over (-400)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 13.5 player_kicks_over (-323)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 13.5 player_kicks_over. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Geelong Cats -2.5 spreads_q3. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Over 43.5 team_totals_h1 (-116)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Over 43.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Over 21.5 team_totals_q1 (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Over 21.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Geelong Cats v Carlton Blues. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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