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Model picks & player props
NHL
Capital One Arena, Washington
Indoor
Tue 3 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Dallas Stars
8-6 · 3-2 awayWWLLW
VS
Washington Capitals
8-5 · 6-3 at homeLWWWL
Our model's predicted score: Washington Capitals 3.1 – Dallas Stars 3

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks · Tue 3 Nov

Our model graded 2 markets for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals and backs Dallas Stars hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $250.

2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars 3-Way Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$25.00Best price+150
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win31.8%
The price says40.0%

The model graded 2 markets for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $250 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 3 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
3-Way Moneyline Dallas Stars Long-shot32% chance +150
Spread Members only High69% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →
Predicted score: Washington Capitals 3.1 – Dallas Stars 3. Kick-off Tue 3 Nov, 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena. Best bet: Dallas Stars at +150.
How they've been scoring this season
Dallas StarsWashington Capitals
Won-lost8-68-5
Goals scored per game2.73.4
Goals allowed per game2.23.2
On the road / at home3-2 away6-3 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLLWLWWWL
Their games average 5.8 total goals this season.
From the 14 Dallas Stars and 13 Washington Capitals games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Dallas Stars about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Dallas Starsabout 5 in 10$2.00 (+100)$1.93 (-108)
Capitalsabout 5 in 10$2.00 (+100)$1.92 (-109)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.70 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 28 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • In their 5 games up to Saturday 31 October, Dallas Stars gave up 3.2 goals a game, up from 2.2 across the season.
  • On Saturday, Dallas Stars beat Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1 at home. On Sunday, Washington Capitals lost 5-1 at home to Minnesota Wild.
  • In the first 133 NHL games this season, home teams won 76, close to 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Before you bet: NHL injury report

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3-Way Moneyline
Dallas Stars
+150
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas Stars3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Washington Capitals on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Washington Capitals
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Washington Capitals
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Stars

  • Kyle Capobianco DOut
  • Oskar Back COut
  • Matt Duchene COut
  • Luke Krys DOut

Washington Capitals

  • Vincent Desharnais DOut
  • Rasmus Sandin DOut
  • Patrick Thomas COut
Availability updated Oct 31, 4:54PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineModel leans Washington CapitalsNo line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G3.6Shots/G30.4vs Stars1-4

Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineDallas Stars +1.5+1.5 -250
72%model cover %
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.0GA/G3.2Shots/G26.0vs Capitals4-1

Model backs Dallas Stars +1.5 on the puck line, a 72% cover vs Washington Capitals.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals — recent results

Washington Capitals have won 3 of their last 5 games; Dallas Stars have won 3 of their last 5.

Washington Capitals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5MINHome
W4–3NSHAway
W5–2PHIHome
W4–3BUFHome
L2–5LAHome
Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1CBJHome
L2–5MTLHome
L1–5NJHome
W6–3NYIHome
W3–2WPGHome

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Washington Capitals won 0, Dallas Stars won 1.

DateWashington CapitalsDallas StarsWinner
Jan 814Dallas Stars

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Capitals
PlayerStatus
Vincent Desharnais DOUT
Rasmus Sandin DOUT
Patrick Thomas COUT
Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Kyle Capobianco DOUT
Oskar Back COUT
Matt Duchene COUT
Luke Krys DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals — where the money went

Since betting opened on Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals, the market has moved away from Washington Capitals across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Washington Capitals -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Dallas Stars -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Dallas Stars 1.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 5.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 5.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Washington Capitals 1.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals — model preview

Latest NHL betting preview: Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Ryan Leonard. Keywords: NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars stats and odds.

Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars : Dallas Stars +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Dallas Stars with a 1.5 puck line seems reasonable considering the comparative performance data of both teams. In their last five games, the Washington Capitals have shown lackluster performance, losing all five games both at home and overall, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 3.4-3.8 goals conceded. This indicates a clear defensive weakness. In contrast, the Dallas Stars have performed fairly well, especially on away games, with a 4-1 record. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 3.4 goals per game. Although Dallas has a 2-3 record against the Capitals, their recent performance outmatches the Capitals' poor form. Furthermore, the model prediction of -0.1 suggests a slight edge towards the Dallas Stars. Overall, the comparative stats favor Dallas Stars winning the game with at least a 1.5 goal margin.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Stars vs Capitals, or as Capitals vs Stars. The next scheduled game is Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Capital One Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Dallas Stars play Washington Capitals on Tuesday 3 November 2026. It starts at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in Washington. It is an NHL game.

Where they last met

  • 7 Jan 2026Dallas Stars beat Washington Capitals 4-1 on the road

Dallas Stars: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1
  2. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs Montreal Canadiens 2-5
  3. 27 Oct 2026Lostvs New Jersey Devils 1-5
  4. 25 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Islanders 6-3
  5. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs Winnipeg Jets 3-2

Washington Capitals: last 5 results

  1. 1 Nov 2026Lostvs Minnesota Wild 1-5
  2. 29 Oct 2026Wonat Nashville Predators 4-3
  3. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Philadelphia Flyers 5-2
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Buffalo Sabres 4-3
  5. 20 Oct 2026Lostvs Los Angeles Kings 2-5

Quick answers

When is Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals? Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals is on Tuesday 3 November 2026. It starts at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in Washington.

Who won the last Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars game? Dallas Stars won their last meeting 4-1 on 7 January 2026.

Where is Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals being played? It is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Dallas Stars 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Thu 8 Jan 2026, Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals: the Stars won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
8 Jan 2026Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals1–4Dallas Stars

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