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Model picks & player props
NHL
Delta Center
Indoor
Tue 13 Oct 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs
3-3 · 1-1 awayWLWLW
VS
Utah Mammoth
4-2 · 1-0 at homeWLWLW

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth Prediction & Picks · Tue 13 Oct

Our model graded 4 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth and backs Utah Mammoth hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $165.

4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Utah Mammoth
to win
Utah Mammoth Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$16.49Best price-154
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.1%
The price says58.5%

The model graded 4 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $165 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 13 Oct 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Utah Mammoth High60% chance -154
Spread Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Lean42% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Lean46% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Utah Mammoth are the model's favourite to beat Toronto Maple Leafs, with a 69% chance to win. Kick-off Tue 13 Oct, 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center. Best bet: Utah Mammoth at -154.
How they've been scoring this season
Toronto Maple LeafsUtah Mammoth
Won-lost3-34-2
Goals scored per game3.33.7
Goals allowed per game3.02.5
On the road / at home1-1 away1-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWLWLWWLWLW
Their games average 6.3 total goals this season.
From the 6 Toronto Maple Leafs and 6 Utah Mammoth games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Utah Mammoth about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Leafsabout 4 in 10$2.41 (+141)$2.36 (+136)
Utah Mammothabout 6 in 10$1.71 (-141)$1.67 (-149)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.30 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 24 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Utah Mammoth
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Utah MammothMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Utah MammothSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Utah Mammoth3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Under
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Chris Tanev DOut
  • John Tavares CDay-to-day
  • Dakota Joshua COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut

Utah Mammoth

  • Michael Carcone LWOut
  • Maveric Lamoureux DOut
Availability updated Oct 11, 9:20PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Same game parlay

Written 13 Oct

Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Tuesday 13 October 2026, Utah Mammoth play Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Utah Mammoth win, priced at -154 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Utah Mammoth win (-154)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Utah Mammoth play Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Utah Mammoth win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Over 6.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Utah Mammoth play Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Over 6.5 Total Goals. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Utah Mammoth h2h_3_way (+115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Utah Mammoth play Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Utah Mammoth h2h_3_way. That is a Head to Head 3-Way bet. It was priced at +115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Utah Mammoth v Toronto Maple Leafs. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineModel leans Utah Mammoth-154
69%model win %
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G3.0Shots/G31.8vs Leafs1-3

Model leans Utah Mammoth to win, a 69% moneyline pick over Toronto Maple Leafs.

Puck LineUtah Mammoth -1.5No line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G3.0Shots/G31.8vs Leafs1-3

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalO 6.5 -108
56%model over %

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth O 6.5 goals — model 56% over.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth — recent results

Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5.

Utah Mammoth — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1BUFAway
L1–6BOSAway
W5–3NJAway
L2–4NYRAway
W4–1CBJAway
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–3COLAway
L3–4VGKAway
W5–4NSHHome
L2–3OTTHome
W2–1NYIHome

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Utah Mammoth won 1, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0.

DateUtah MammothToronto Maple LeafsWinner
Jan 1461Utah Mammoth

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Utah Mammoth
PlayerStatus
Michael Carcone LWOUT
Maveric Lamoureux DOUT
Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Chris Tanev DOUT
John Tavares CDAY-TO-DAY
Dakota Joshua COUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
Elvis Merzlikins GOUT
William Villeneuve DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth — model preview

Utah Mammoth v Toronto Maple Leafs, 13 October 2026. Top of the list: Utah Mammoth win. Our model likes 3 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Tuesday 13 October 2026, Utah Mammoth play Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Utah Mammoth win, priced at -154 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Utah Mammoth win (-154)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Utah Mammoth play Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Utah Mammoth win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Mammoth, or as Mammoth vs Leafs. The next scheduled game is Tuesday 13 October 2026 at Delta Center. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Utah Mammoth 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Wed 14 Jan 2026, Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth: the Mammoth won 6-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
14 Jan 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth6–1Utah Mammoth
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