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AFL

Patrick Cripps

Carlton

+18.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 26.5 -115 (1.87)
+18.5% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
72.0%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+18.5%
Predicted Value
23.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Patrick Cripps (Carlton) Under 26.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Patrick Cripps' recent form, it's clear he's been a force to be reckoned with on the field. However, despite his undeniable talent, the stats suggest he might struggle to hit the Over 26.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash against the Melbourne Demons at the MCG. Over his last five home games, Cripps has averaged 27.2 disposals, slightly above the line. But digging deeper, his average against Melbourne specifically drops to 31 disposals. With the pressure of facing a formidable opponent and the potential for tighter defensive coverage, Cripps may find it challenging to maintain his usual disposal output. Considering his recent dip in contested possessions and turnovers, along with Melbourne's historically effective midfield, the Under 26.5 disposals bet on Patrick Cripps seems like a smart play for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 83.3% (5/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 26.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals 26.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
05 Mar 26 Carlton Blues @ Sydney Swans Disposals 25.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
26 Jun 25 Carlton Blues @ Port Adelaide Power Goals — — — Pending
21 Jun 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Carlton Blues Goals — — — Pending
15 Jun 25 Carlton Blues @ West Coast Eagles Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Patrick Cripps (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 83.3% (5/6). The latest model pick for Patrick Cripps is Under 26.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.