Patrick Cripps (Carlton) Under 26.5 Disposals (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to backing the under on Patrick Cripps' 26.5 disposals line in the upcoming Carlton Blues clash against the Richmond Tigers at the MCG, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Despite Cripps' undeniable prowess on the field, recent trends suggest he might fall just short this time. Over his last five home games, he's averaged 25.8 disposals, tantalizingly close but still under the 26.5 mark. Factor in his recent matchup history against Richmond where he's averaged 30.5 disposals at home and 32.4 overall, and you see a pattern emerge. With a model prediction of 23.6 disposals and a solid 67.6% disposal efficiency, all signs point to a gritty, hard-fought game where Cripps may just miss out on hitting that line. Trust the data, trust the trends, and consider going under on Cripps for this one.