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Model picks & player props
NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Tue 3 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Vegas Golden Knights
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins and backs Pittsburgh Penguins hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $252.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins 3rd Period Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$25.20Best price+152
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win38.8%
The price says39.7%

The model graded 20 markets for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $252 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 3 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
3rd Period Moneyline Pittsburgh Penguins Long-shot39% chance +152
Spread Members only High78% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Line Members only Lean53% chance Members
2nd Period Moneyline Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High69% chance Members
2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
3rd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Lines Members only High79% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Lean45% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins last met on Tue 3 Nov 2026: Vegas Golden Knights won 3-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3rd Period Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vegas Golden KnightsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins2nd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vegas Golden KnightsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vegas Golden KnightsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vegas Golden KnightsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vegas Golden KnightsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Vegas Golden Knights

  • Parker Wotherspoon DOut

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Elmer Soderblom LWOut
  • Bryan Rust RWOut
  • Trevor van Riemsdyk DOut
  • Ryan Graves DOut
Availability updated Nov 2, 3:52PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 4 Nov

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

On November 03, 2026 our model has run Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Vegas Golden Knights To Win (-104), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: Vegas Golden Knights To Win (-104)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Vegas Golden Knights are coming off a solid stretch, winning 5 of their last 10 games. They've been pretty good at blocking shots, stopping an average of 13.9 per game, which is right around what most teams do. Plus, their physical play is strong, landing 22 hits a game. The Penguins, on the other hand, have only managed to win 3 of their last 10, and their hitting numbers are lower than the league average. Both teams are close in talent, making this matchup feel like a toss-up. The biggest risk here is that the Penguins are playing at home and might have a little boost from their fans. Still, the Golden Knights seem to have the slight advantage overall, and they could come away with the win.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: Under 6.5 Total Goals (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Penguins are struggling, having only won 3 of their last 10 games, which makes them a bit unpredictable. They don't land as many hits compared to the league average, and they give up quite a few shots. On the other hand, the Golden Knights are doing better, winning 5 of their last 10, and they play a strong defensive game, blocking more shots than the league average. With both teams showing a tendency to play tight games, betting on fewer than 6.5 total goals makes sense here. The numbers suggest a combined score around 5.9, so this could be a low-scoring matchup. Just keep in mind that the Penguins' inconsistency could lead to surprises, but overall, this bet feels solid.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: Pittsburgh Penguins 3-Way Moneyline (+140)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Pittsburgh Penguins have struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, but they are at home and that can make a difference. They have a good chance to surprise the Vegas Golden Knights, especially since the Penguins block almost as many shots as the league average. This shows they can defend well when needed. The Golden Knights have won 5 of their last 10 games, which makes this matchup pretty close. The risk here is that the Penguins are not hitting as much as other teams, landing only 11.6 hits per game compared to the average of 22.1. Still, with the Penguins sitting at +140 odds, they could pull off an upset at home.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 3 Nov

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Tuesday 3 November 2026, Pittsburgh Penguins play Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Tommy Novak (Pittsburgh Penguins) Under 0.5 Goals, priced at -345 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Tommy Novak (Pittsburgh Penguins) Under 0.5 Goals (-345)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Penguins play Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Tommy Novak (Pittsburgh Penguins) Under 0.5 Goals. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tomas Hertl (Vegas Golden Knights) Under 0.5 Goals (-333)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Penguins play Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Tomas Hertl (Vegas Golden Knights) Under 0.5 Goals. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: Vegas Golden Knights +1.5 (-263)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Penguins play Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Vegas Golden Knights +1.5. That is a Spread bet. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Pittsburgh Penguins v Vegas Golden Knights. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Vegas Golden KnightsNo line posted

Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineVegas Golden Knights -1.5No line posted

Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Both Teams to ScoreModel: NoNo line posted

Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins both-teams-to-score model lean (No).

Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 1 of their last 5 games; Vegas Golden Knights have won 3 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6BOSHome
L2–3VGKHome
L4–5MTLAway
L3–4UTAHome
W3–2NSHHome
Vegas Golden Knights — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1DETAway
W3–2PITAway
L2–3BOSAway
L2–5NJHome
W4–1OTTHome

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent meetings

These two have met 4 times recently: Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Vegas Golden Knights won 3.

DatePittsburgh PenguinsVegas Golden KnightsWinner
Nov 423Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 1826Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 1326Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 150Pittsburgh Penguins

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Penguins
PlayerStatus
Elmer Soderblom LWOUT
Bryan Rust RWOUT
Trevor van Riemsdyk DOUT
Ryan Graves DOUT
Vegas Golden Knights
PlayerStatus
Parker Wotherspoon DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins — model preview

Pittsburgh Penguins v Vegas Golden Knights, 4 November 2026. Top of the list: Sidney Crosby (Pittsburgh Penguins) Under 0.5 Assists.

On November 03, 2026 our model has run Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Vegas Golden Knights To Win (-104), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Knights vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Knights. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 3 November 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 3 Nov 2026Vegas Golden Knights beat Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 on the road
  • 17 Oct 2026Vegas Golden Knights beat Pittsburgh Penguins 6-2 at home
  • 12 Mar 2026Vegas Golden Knights beat Pittsburgh Penguins 6-2 at home

Vegas Golden Knights: last 5 results

  1. 5 Nov 2026Wonat Detroit Red Wings 2-1
  2. 3 Nov 2026Wonat Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2
  3. 2 Nov 2026Lostat Boston Bruins 2-3
  4. 30 Oct 2026Lostvs New Jersey Devils 2-5
  5. 27 Oct 2026Wonvs Ottawa Senators 4-1

Pittsburgh Penguins: last 5 results

  1. 5 Nov 2026Lostvs Boston Bruins 2-6
  2. 3 Nov 2026Lostvs Vegas Golden Knights 2-3
  3. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Montreal Canadiens 4-5
  4. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs Utah Mammoth 3-4
  5. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Nashville Predators 3-2

Quick answers

Who won the last Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights game? Vegas Golden Knights won their last meeting 3-2 on 3 November 2026.

How have Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins done lately? Vegas Golden Knights won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Vegas Golden Knights 3–1 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 6.5 goals

Last meeting: Wed 4 Nov 2026, Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins: the Golden Knights won 3-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Nov 2026Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins2–3Vegas Golden Knights
18 Oct 2026Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights6–2Vegas Golden Knights
13 Mar 2026Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights6–2Vegas Golden Knights
1 Mar 2026Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins5–0Pittsburgh Penguins
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