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AFL

Tom Atkins

Geelong Cats

+3.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -588 (1.17)
+3.5% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 17 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
89.0%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+3.5%
Predicted Value
22.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) Over 16.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

If you're looking to back a solid bet in the Geelong Cats vs. Western Bulldogs clash, keep your eyes on Tom Atkins to deliver the goods. At home in GMHBA Stadium, Atkins has been a midfield dynamo, racking up an average of 22.6 disposals over his last five home games. His recent form is red hot, with a hit rate of 11 out of 12 at home and an overall hit rate of 17 out of his last 19 games. Against the Bulldogs, he's been even more prolific, averaging 17.2 disposals in their last encounters. With his ability to find the footy, maintain high disposal efficiency, and generate meters gained, Atkins is poised to surpass the 16.5 disposals line comfortably. Lock in the Over for Atkins and watch him dominate the midfield battle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals 15.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals 16.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals 17.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Tom Atkins is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.