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AFL

Tom Atkins

Geelong Cats

+3.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -769 (1.13)
+3.8% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Mon 6 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
92.3%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+3.8%
Predicted Value
22.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) Over 15.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want consistency and reliability. Tom Atkins of the Geelong Cats embodies just that. With an impressive average of 23.4 disposals over his last five away games, Atkins knows how to find the footy and make an impact. His recent form boasts solid numbers across the board, including 11.8 kicks and 11.6 handballs per game. His disposal efficiency of 75.5% demonstrates his ability to make those possessions count. Going up against the Hawthorn Hawks, who he's averaged 17 disposals against over his last five encounters, Atkins is poised to shine once again. With a stellar hit rate both overall and in away games, backing Atkins to surpass 15.5 disposals is a smart bet with a high likelihood of hitting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (17 picks) 58.8% (10/17)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 15.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 16.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 17 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 58.8% (10/17). The latest model pick for Tom Atkins is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks on Monday 6 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.