On Thursday 13 August 2026, Essendon Bombers play Sydney Swans in the AFL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Jade Gresham (Essendon) Over 1.5 player_marks_over, priced at -270 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jade Gresham (Essendon) Over 1.5 player_marks_over (-270)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to aerial prowess, Jade Gresham is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between Essendon and Sydney. Over his last five home games, he's been a marking machine, averaging 1.8 marks per game and 0.4 marks inside 50. What's even more promising is his recent history against Sydney - in their last five encounters, he's been hauling in an impressive 3 marks per game. Overall, Gresham has been consistent, averaging 2.2 marks across all recent games. With such a strong track record, especially against the Swans, Gresham looks poised to soar above the 1.5 marks line set for him in this game. So, if you're looking for a reliable bet to snag some value, backing Gresham to go over 1.5 marks is a smart play for this Sunday showdown at the MCG.

That is how our model reads Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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