On August 1, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LONG-SHOT confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Nick Gonzales (PIT) Under 1.5 Hits (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Reds host the Pirates, all eyes should be on Nick Gonzales, especially when it comes to his hitting. While Gonzales has shown flashes of potential, recent trends suggest he may struggle against Cincinnati's pitching. The Reds’ staff has been particularly tough on left-handed hitters, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that could very well stifle Gonzales’ bat today. Moreover, Gonzales has been mired in a slump, with his last few games yielding fewer base hits than usual. Combine that with the Reds’ bullpen, which has been lights out lately, and you have a recipe for limited offensive production. With an implied probability of nearly 72% for him to stay under 1.5 hits, the signs are pointing toward a quiet day at the plate for Gonzales. This matchup offers a compelling narrative for taking the under in what could be a low-scoring affair.

Bryan Reynolds (PIT) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Reds host the Pirates, all eyes will be on Bryan Reynolds, but taking the under on his total bases feels like a savvy play. Lately, Reynolds has been battling a bit of inconsistency at the plate, and facing a Reds' pitching staff that has found its groove could add to his struggles. Over the last month, the Reds' starters have posted a 3.50 ERA, effectively stifling opposing hitters. Moreover, Reynolds' recent performance against right-handed pitching—something he’ll face in this matchup—hasn't exactly been stellar. He’s hit under this line in several recent games, and the pressure of a divisional rivalry can often lead to tighter contests where every base is hard-earned. With the Pirates struggling to generate consistent offense themselves, it’s reasonable to expect Reynolds to stay under that 1.5 total bases in what could be a tightly contested affair.

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Reds face off against the Pirates, all eyes will be on Elly De La Cruz, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch today. Although De La Cruz has shown flashes of brilliance, he’s facing a Pirates pitching staff that’s been surprisingly effective, particularly against left-handed hitters. With the way the Pirates' bullpen has tightened up lately, managing a stellar 2.75 ERA over the past two weeks, it’s hard to envision De La Cruz racking up multiple hits. Plus, he’s been inconsistent at the plate, posting a sub-.250 average recently. Combine that with the Reds’ lineup struggling against quality pitching, and the odds start to tilt in favor of an “under” bet. This matchup could very well turn into a duel, limiting De La Cruz's chances to capitalize and keeping his total bases in check.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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