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MLB
Fenway Park, Boston
Outdoor
Wed 1 Jul 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Washington Nationals
VS
Boston Red Sox

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 22 markets for Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox and backs Washington Nationals hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $228.

20
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Washington Nationals
to win
Washington Nationals Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$22.80Best price+128
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win56.5%
The price says43.9%

The model graded 22 markets for Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $228 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 1 Jul 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Fenway Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Washington Nationals Lean56% chance +128
Spread Members only Lean47% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean58% chance Members
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 90% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox last met on Wed 1 Jul 2026: Washington Nationals won 10-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Washington Nationals
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Washington NationalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • Drew Millas COut

Boston Red Sox

  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Romy Gonzalez DHOut
  • Eli White CFOut
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Garrett Whitlock RPOut
  • Caleb Durbin 3BOut
  • Mickey Gasper DHOut
Availability updated Nov 10, 5:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ceddanne Rafaela Batter - Hits
James Wood WSN Batter - Hits

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBoston Red SoxNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Washington Nationals L51-4

Boston Red Sox moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineBoston Red Sox run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Washington Nationals L51-4

Boston Red Sox spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Boston Red Sox vs Washington NationalsNo line posted

Boston Red Sox total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBoston Red Sox team totalNo line posted
3.4runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Washington Nationals L51-4

Boston Red Sox team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox — 20 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox — recent results

Boston Red Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5.

Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9NYYAway
L0–9NYYAway
L2–6CHCHome
W2–0CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4NYMHome
L1–7NYMHome
W7–6NYMHome
W4–2DETAway
W3–1DETAway

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Boston Red Sox won 1, Washington Nationals won 2.

DateBoston Red SoxWashington NationalsWinner
Jul 1210Washington Nationals
Jun 3018Washington Nationals
Jun 2963Boston Red Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Triston Casas 1BOUT
Romy Gonzalez DHOUT
Eli White CFOUT
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Kutter Crawford SPOUT
Garrett Whitlock RPOUT
Caleb Durbin 3BOUT
Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Drew Millas COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox — model preview

Deep dive into Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals stats and odds.

Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals : Washington Nationals +1.5 (-179)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Nationals roll into Fenway, there’s a compelling narrative unfolding. Washington has been quietly impressive, showcasing a potent offense that’s averaged over five runs per game in their last ten outings. Meanwhile, the Red Sox, while formidable at home, have struggled to find consistency, especially against left-handed pitching—an area where the Nationals excel. Look at the recent form: the Nats' lineup is clicking, with several players heating up just in time. Plus, their pitching has been a pleasant surprise, with a solid bullpen ready to shut the door late. If we consider the Red Sox's tendency to drop games against teams that play disciplined baseball, the 1.5 run line for Washington feels like a savvy play. The Nationals' ability to keep it close—or even pull off a decisive win—against a vulnerable Boston squad makes this bet not just enticing but quite plausible. Don't overlook this one; Washington has the momentum.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Nationals vs Sox, or as Sox vs Nationals. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 1 July 2026 at Fenway Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 1 Jul 2026Washington Nationals beat Boston Red Sox 10-2 on the road
  • 30 Jun 2026Washington Nationals beat Boston Red Sox 8-1 on the road
  • 29 Jun 2026Boston Red Sox beat Washington Nationals 6-3 at home

Washington Nationals: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs New York Mets 6-4
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs New York Mets 1-7
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonvs New York Mets 7-6
  4. 23 Sep 2026Wonat Detroit Tigers 4-2
  5. 22 Sep 2026Wonat Detroit Tigers 3-1

Boston Red Sox: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostat New York Yankees 2-9
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostat New York Yankees 0-9
  3. 27 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago Cubs 2-6
  4. 25 Sep 2026Wonvs Chicago Cubs 2-0
  5. 25 Sep 2026Wonvs Chicago Cubs 4-3

Quick answers

Who won the last Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals game? Washington Nationals won their last meeting 10-2 on 1 July 2026.

How have Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox done lately? Washington Nationals won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Boston Red Sox won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox: the season so far

From every final score this season

Washington Nationals are 77-85 this season and Boston Red Sox are 87-77. Boston Red Sox are 41-40 at home. Washington Nationals are 38-43 on the road. Boston Red Sox score 4.2 runs a game and let in 3.8. Washington Nationals score 5.1 and let in 5.0. Boston Red Sox games have averaged 8.0 runs in total; Washington Nationals games have averaged 10.1. Boston Red Sox have lost their last 3.

SeasonWashington NationalsBoston Red Sox
Won-lost77-8587-77
At home39-4241-40
On the road38-4346-37
Last 106-43-7
Runs scored a game5.14.2
Runs let in a game5.03.8
Runs scored at home5.34.3
Runs scored away4.84.1
Against winning sides31-4735-32
Current runWon 1Lost 3
Biggest win23-4 at Athletics17-1 at Baltimore Orioles
Heaviest loss15-1 at Athletics16-1 at New York Yankees

Teams they have both played

  • Against New York Yankees: Boston Red Sox lost 2-9 on the road; Washington Nationals lost 3-5 at home.
  • Against Chicago Cubs: Boston Red Sox lost 2-6 at home; Washington Nationals won 7-0 at home.
  • Against Cleveland Guardians: Boston Red Sox lost 0-1 at home; Washington Nationals lost 2-3 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Boston Red Sox doing this season? Boston Red Sox are 87-77 this season: 41-40 at home and 46-37 on the road.

How many runs do Washington Nationals score a game? Washington Nationals score 5.1 runs a game this season and let in 5.0, across 162 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox head-to-head record

Final scores · 14 meetings on record
Boston Red Sox 8–6 across the last 14 meetings · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 1 Jul 2026, Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox: the Nationals won 10-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
1 Jul 2026Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox2–10Washington Nationals
30 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox1–8Washington Nationals
29 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox6–3Boston Red Sox
6 Jul 2025Boston Red Sox @ Washington Nationals4–6Boston Red Sox
5 Jul 2025Boston Red Sox @ Washington Nationals3–10Boston Red Sox
4 Jul 2025Boston Red Sox @ Washington Nationals2–11Boston Red Sox
12 May 2024Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox3–2Boston Red Sox
11 May 2024Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox4–2Boston Red Sox
10 May 2024Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox1–5Washington Nationals
2 Mar 2024Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox4–2Boston Red Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 14 meetings on file.

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