On Friday 2 October 2026, Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Marcus Mariota (WAS) Under 213.5 Passing Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Marcus Mariota (WAS) Under 213.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Marcus Mariota (WAS) Under 213.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Josh Downs (IND) Under 5.5 Receptions (-141)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Josh Downs (IND) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Washington Commanders v Indianapolis Colts. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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