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The latest Bet Better model pick for Terry McLaurin is Yes on Anytime TD.
On the Anytime TD market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 30%, for a model edge of +19.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 1:35AM UTC
NFL

Terry McLaurin

WAS

+19.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +230 (3.30) · $100→$330
+19.9% Edge
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Washington · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
McLaurin will be joined by Diggs in the Commanders' receiving corps after the latter agreed to a one-year contract with the team Wednesday, John Keim and Seth Walder of ESPN.com report.
updated Aug 5, 8:27PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
30.3%
Model Edge
+19.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%30.3%1.99+19.9%

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AI Analysis

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Terry McLaurin (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+230)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data presents both pros and cons for betting on Terry McLaurin to score a touchdown anytime during the Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles game. On one hand, McLaurin hasn't had a great recent run, failing to score a touchdown in his last 5 overall or home games. However, when looking specifically at his performance against the Eagles, he has a much stronger track record, scoring in 2 out of his last 3 games against them, both of which were at home. This is supported by the model edge of 0.199, indicating a nearly 20% greater chance of success compared to the market odds. McLaurin also has a current hit streak of 1 against the Eagles, and a streak of 2 at home against them. Therefore, while recent performance might be discouraging, his history against the Eagles, particularly at home, provides a strong rationale for the bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Terry McLaurin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Terry McLaurin (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Terry McLaurin is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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