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NFL

Terry McLaurin

WAS

Value call

Terry McLaurin has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $131 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
48.4 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.6% · before adjusting for past results 86.5% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap -8.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Mon 19 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Terry McLaurin
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
Value call
HIGHWins about 68 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.10 Odds-323
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Terry McLaurin is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 68%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:27PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$20,973 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Commanders head coach Dan Quinn announced Monday that McLaurin has been diagnosed with a torn patellar tendon in his left knee following an MRI and will miss the rest of the season.
updated Oct 20, 7:18PM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)86.5%67.6%76.3%1.31+10.1%

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AI Analysis

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San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders: Terry McLaurin Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-323)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The San Francisco 49ers have a strong defense, but they might struggle to contain Terry McLaurin's speed and skill. McLaurin has been on fire lately, and with a solid quarterback throwing his way, he should find opportunities to rack up receiving yards. The Commanders need him to step up in this matchup, and he has shown he can do just that. We think McLaurin will go over 24.5 receiving yards in this game. The numbers show he's a strong favorite to hit that mark, but the biggest risk is how well the 49ers' defense can cover him. If they focus on him too much, it could limit his chances, but with his talent, he's likely to break free for some big plays.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
45%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

Terry McLaurin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 45%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards27 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–55.5model over96%tips tracked27

Terry McLaurin's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 27 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions5 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–4.5tips tracked5

Terry McLaurin's NFL receptions prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Terry McLaurin average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Terry McLaurin (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Terry McLaurin is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers on Monday 19 October at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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