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Model picks & player props
Washington Commanders
VS
Dallas Cowboys

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 63 markets for Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys and backs Under 22.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $249.

NFL
Dallas
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 8:25PM
20
Game markets graded
43
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 22.5 Alternate Totals H1 +149

The model graded 63 markets for Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $249 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 8:25PM at Dallas.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win42.3%
The price says37.6%
Best price+149
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Totals H1 Under 22.5 Lean42% chance +149
Alternate Totals H1 Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Alternate Totals Q1 Members only Long-shot22% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H2 Members only High85% chance Members
Receiving Yards × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
Last Touchdown Scorer × 14 props Long-shotup to 24% Members
Receptions × 2 props Highup to 69% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 94% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 98% Members
Anytime TD × 9 props Long-shotup to 21% Members
Interceptions Thrown × 1 prop Highup to 61% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Leanup to 45% Members
Rushing Yards × 1 prop Leanup to 57% Members
Rushing Attempts (Alt) × 1 prop Long-shotup to 18% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys last met on Sun 20 Sep 2026: Dallas Cowboys won 37-20. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Totals H1
Under
19.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Commanders

  • Jaylin Lane WROut
  • Rachaad White RBOut
  • Terry McLaurin WROut
  • Jayden Daniels QBOut
  • Marcus Mariota QBDoubtful
  • Sam Cosmi GOut
  • Nick Cross SOut
  • Tyler Owens SQuestionable
  • Jeremy Reaves SQuestionable
  • Charles Omenihu DEQuestionable

Dallas Cowboys

  • Tyler Smith GOut
  • DeMarvion Overshown LBOut
  • Cobie Durant CBOut
  • Drew Shelton OTQuestionable
  • Jonathan Bullard DTOut
  • Jalen Thompson SOut
Availability updated Oct 6, 2:29AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys: The game is played retractable roof (closed), so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueretractable roof (closed)
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ryan Flournoy DAL Receiving Yards
Hunter Luepke DAL Last Touchdown Scorer
Ryan Flournoy DAL Receptions
Javonte Williams DAL Receptions (Alt)
Javonte Williams DAL Receiving Yards (Alt)

+ 43 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineWashington Commanders to winNo line posted

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadWashington Commanders spreadNo line posted

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsCommanders @ CowboysNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys — what the model found

Our model graded 63 betting markets for Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys — 20 on the game itself and 43 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
43
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 63 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 62 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys — recent results

Dallas Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5 games; Washington Commanders have won 1 of their last 5.

Dallas Cowboys — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W34–30HOUAway
L31–34BALHome
W37–20WSHHome
L20–28NYGAway
L24–27NOHome
Washington Commanders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–30INDHome
W33–31SEAHome
L20–37DALAway
L22–24PHIAway
L3–41BALAway

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Dallas Cowboys won 1, Washington Commanders won 0.

DateDallas CowboysWashington CommandersWinner
Sep 203720Dallas Cowboys

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Cowboys
PlayerStatus
Tyler Smith GOUT
DeMarvion Overshown LBOUT
Cobie Durant CBOUT
Drew Shelton OTQUESTIONABLE
Jonathan Bullard DTOUT
Jalen Thompson SOUT
Washington Commanders
PlayerStatus
Jaylin Lane WROUT
Rachaad White RBOUT
Terry McLaurin WROUT
Jayden Daniels QBOUT
Marcus Mariota QBDOUBTFUL
Sam Cosmi GOUT
Nick Cross SOUT
Tyler Owens SQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Commanders vs Cowboys, or as Cowboys vs Commanders. The most recent game between them was Sunday 20 September 2026 at Dallas. The model has generated 20 game picks and 43 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Dallas Cowboys 17–6 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 50.4 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 20 Sep 2026, Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys: the Cowboys won 37-20.

DateGameScoreWinner
20 Sep 2026Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys37–20Dallas Cowboys
25 Dec 2025Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders23–30Dallas Cowboys
19 Oct 2025Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys44–22Dallas Cowboys
5 Jan 2025Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys19–23Washington Commanders
24 Nov 2024Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders26–34Dallas Cowboys
7 Jan 2024Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders10–38Dallas Cowboys
23 Nov 2023Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys45–10Dallas Cowboys
8 Jan 2023Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders26–6Washington Commanders
2 Oct 2022Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys25–10Dallas Cowboys
26 Dec 2021Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys56–14Dallas Cowboys

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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