Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacory Croskey-Merritt is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 30 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 30%, the price says 37%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 27, 11:03AM UTC
NFL
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has one live pick today: Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 49.5 that pays $273 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 49.5
+173 (2.73) · $100→$273
Value call
Seattle Seahawks
@
Washington Commanders
Washington · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 177 of 334 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
30 in 100
Predicted
47.8 Rushing Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 30.0% · before adjusting for past results 41.8% · the book's price implies 36.6% · gap -6.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 41.8% | 30.0% | 36.6% | 2.73 | +5.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS) Over 49.5 Player rush yds alternate (+173)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Washington Commanders play Seattle Seahawks in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS) Over 49.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +173 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jacory Croskey-Merritt's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5
+165 best over price · 1 book
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards (alt) line is 49.5, best over price +165 across 1 book.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
-105 best over price · 4 books
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5, best over price -105 across 4 books.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
-250 best over price · 1 book
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5, best over price -250 across 1 book.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Rushing Attempts (Alt) 13.5
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing attempts (alt) line is 13.5.
Rushing Attempts (Alt) 11.5
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing attempts (alt) line is 11.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveRushing YardsNext game · Seattle SeahawksO 29.5 -238 29.5posted line · rushing yds
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has a live NFL rushing yards market for Seattle Seahawks: over 29.5 rushing yds priced at -238.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacory Croskey-Merritt is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders on Sunday 27 September at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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