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Model picks & player props
NHL
Rogers Place, Edmonton
Indoor
Sat 21 Mar 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Edmonton Oilers

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 5 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers and backs Edmonton Oilers hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $226.

4
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Edmonton Oilers
to win
Edmonton Oilers Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$22.60Best price+126
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.1%
The price says44.2%

The model graded 5 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $226 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 21 Mar 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Rogers Place.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Edmonton Oilers High60% chance +126
Moneyline Members only High72% chance Members
Spread Members only High76% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High99% chance Members
Shots on Goal × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Tampa Bay Lightning and Edmonton Oilers last met on Sat 21 Mar 2026: Tampa Bay Lightning won 5-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers
+126
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,820+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Edmonton OilersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Edmonton OilersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Victor Hedman DDay-to-day
  • Zemgus Girgensons CDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut

Edmonton Oilers

  • Devon Levi GOut
  • Mattias Ekholm DOut
  • Jason Dickinson COut
  • Alec Regula DOut
  • Matt Savoie COut
  • Frederik Andersen GOut
  • Mattias Janmark COut
  • Atro Leppanen DOut
Availability updated Oct 25, 1:09PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Shots on Goal

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineEdmonton Oilers +1.5No line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.8GA/G4.2Shots/G26.0vs Lightning3-2

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers — 4 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers — recent results

Edmonton Oilers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 3 of their last 5.

Edmonton Oilers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–7TORHome
W6–5CARHome
W4–3MINHome
W6–2UTAAway
L2–4UTAHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5UTAAway
L3–6COLAway
W6–2VGKAway
W4–2VANHome
W4–3SEAHome

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Edmonton Oilers won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateEdmonton OilersTampa Bay LightningWinner
Mar 2225Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Edmonton Oilers
PlayerStatus
Devon Levi GOUT
Mattias Ekholm DOUT
Jason Dickinson COUT
Alec Regula DOUT
Matt Savoie COUT
Frederik Andersen GOUT
Mattias Janmark COUT
Atro Leppanen DOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Victor Hedman DDAY-TO-DAY
Zemgus Girgensons CDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning. Includes analysis on key players like Connor McDavid. Discover NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning : Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Sunday morning's clash between the Edmonton Oilers and Tampa Bay Lightning promises to be a thrilling one. Despite the Oilers' recent struggles at home, with a 1-4 record in their last five, we've seen some glimmers of hope. Even though they've been averaging just 0.8 goals per game, they've also kept their opponents to a respectable 1 goal average. On the flip side, Tampa Bay, with their impressive 4-1 away record, certainly won't make it an easy match for the Oilers. They've been hitting the back of the net on average 2 times a game, and have shown a strong defense, allowing just 2.4 goals per game overall. However, the Oilers' resilience can't be overlooked. With a 2-3 record against Tampa Bay, they hold the capacity to upset the Lightning. Edmonton's coming into this game with a point to prove, and the added 1.5 goals in the Puck

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Oilers, or as Oilers vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Saturday 21 March 2026 at Rogers Place. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sun 22 Mar 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers: the Lightning won 5-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
22 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers2–5Tampa Bay Lightning

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