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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Flyers
VS
Ottawa Senators

Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 27, 7:14PM UTC

Our model graded 6 markets for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators and backs Ottawa Senators hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $189.

NHL
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Indoor
Thu 8 Oct 2026, 11:00PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Ottawa Senators Moneyline -112

The model graded 6 markets for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 8 Oct 2026, 11:00PM at Canadian Tire Centre.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win58.5%
The price says52.9%
Best price-112
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Ottawa Senators Lean58% chance -112
3-Way Moneyline Members only Lean46% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Lean56% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →
Ottawa Senators are the model's favourite to beat Philadelphia Flyers, with a 58% chance to win. Kick-off Thu 8 Oct, 11:00PM at Canadian Tire Centre. Best bet: Ottawa Senators at -112.
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Ottawa Senators
-112
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Ottawa SenatorsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Ottawa Senators3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Flyers

  • Denver Barkey CDay-to-day
  • Dan Vladar GDay-to-day
  • Helge Grans DDay-to-day

Ottawa Senators

  • Warren Foegele LWDay-to-day
  • Kurtis MacDermid LWDay-to-day
  • Shane Pinto CDay-to-day
  • Jorian Donovan DDay-to-day
  • Jake Sanderson DDay-to-day
  • Artem Zub DOut
Availability updated Sep 27, 4:21PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Same game parlay

Written 28 Sep

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks (Value Parlay): Our Expert Analysis

On Monday 28 September 2026, Ottawa Senators play Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Ottawa Senators win, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers: Ottawa Senators win (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Ottawa Senators play Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Ottawa Senators win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers: Under 5.5 Total Goals (-118)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Ottawa Senators play Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Under 5.5 Total Goals. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers: Ottawa Senators h2h_3_way (+135)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Ottawa Senators play Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Ottawa Senators h2h_3_way. That is a Head to Head 3-Way bet. It was priced at +135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Ottawa Senators v Philadelphia Flyers. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineModel leans Ottawa Senators-112
58%model win %
1-4last 5 record
GF/G1.6GA/G2.4Shots/G29.6vs Flyers5-0

Model leans Ottawa Senators to win, a 58% moneyline pick over Philadelphia Flyers.

Puck LineOttawa Senators -1.5No line posted
1-4last 5 record
GF/G1.6GA/G2.4Shots/G29.6vs Flyers5-0

Philadelphia Flyers @ Ottawa Senators puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalU 5.5 -118
56%model under %

Philadelphia Flyers @ Ottawa Senators U 5.5 goals — model 56% under.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Ottawa Senators — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators — recent results

Ottawa Senators have won 1 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Flyers have won 1 of their last 5.

Ottawa Senators — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3MTLHome
L2–4MTLAway
L2–4TORHome
L1–6TORAway
L2–3MTLAway
Philadelphia Flyers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5WSHHome
W2–0BOSHome
L1–5BOSAway
L2–5WSHAway
L2–3CARHome

Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Ottawa Senators won 1, Philadelphia Flyers won 0.

DateOttawa SenatorsPhiladelphia FlyersWinner
Feb 621Ottawa Senators

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Ottawa Senators
PlayerStatus
Warren Foegele LWDAY-TO-DAY
Kurtis MacDermid LWDAY-TO-DAY
Shane Pinto CDAY-TO-DAY
Jorian Donovan DDAY-TO-DAY
Jake Sanderson DDAY-TO-DAY
Artem Zub DOUT
Philadelphia Flyers
PlayerStatus
Denver Barkey CDAY-TO-DAY
Dan Vladar GDAY-TO-DAY
Helge Grans DDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Ottawa Senators — model preview

Ottawa Senators v Philadelphia Flyers, 28 September 2026. Top of the list: Ottawa Senators win. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Monday 28 September 2026, Ottawa Senators play Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Ottawa Senators win, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers: Ottawa Senators win (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Ottawa Senators play Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Ottawa Senators win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Flyers vs Senators, or as Senators vs Flyers. The next scheduled game is Thursday 8 October 2026 at Canadian Tire Centre. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Ottawa Senators 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Feb 2026Ottawa Senators @ Philadelphia Flyers1–2Ottawa Senators
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