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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Sheppard is Under 12.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On the Points + Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +16.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:13AM UTC
NBA

Ben Sheppard

Indiana Pacers

+16.2% Edge
🔥 14 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 12.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
+16.2% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Sat 21 Feb, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+16.2%
Predicted Value
8.1 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts71.7%—55.6%1.39+16.2%

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AI Analysis

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Ben Sheppard (Indiana Pacers) Under 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Ben Sheppard for Under 12.5 points, rebounds, and assists in the Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers game seems statistically sound when considering Sheppard's recent performance. His average points, rebounds, and assists in the last five games, both overall and on the road, combined are significantly lower than 12.5. Specifically, his average overall points (2.8), rebounds (2.4), and assists (0.2) add up to just 5.4. Even when playing away, these numbers only slightly increase to a total of 5.4. Moreover, his average performance against the Wizards is consistent with these trends, with his total points, rebounds, and assists falling well below the 12.5 mark. Lastly, Sheppard's overall and away hit rates in the last 12 to 14 games are perfect, indicating a strong pattern of consistency. These stats suggest a high likelihood of Sheppard's combined points, rebounds, and assists staying

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Pick History & Track Record

Ben Sheppard — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Ben Sheppard averaged 5.1 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists in 18.8 minutes per game, shooting 42.1% from the field and 34.3% from three-point range.

5.1
PPG
2.7
RPG
1.2
APG
0.5
SPG
0.2
BPG
18.8
MPG
42.1%
FG%
34.3%
3P%

Ben Sheppard — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ben Sheppard has played 12.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

12.0
MPG (L5)
4.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Ben Sheppard — home vs away scoring

At home Ben Sheppard averages 5.1 points per game; on the road, 5.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.1
PPG at home
5.0
PPG on the road

Ben Sheppard — scoring by opponent

Ben Sheppard scores most against the NY, averaging 5.4 points per game in that matchup.

5.4
NY
4.0
MIL
3.5
BOS

Ben Sheppard — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ben Sheppard has averaged 3.4 points, 1.7 rebounds and 0.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE12310
11 Mayvs CLE291430
9 Mayvs CLE6320
6 May@ CLE6010
4 May@ CLE7000
29 Aprvs MIL6010
27 Apr@ MIL22331
25 Apr@ MIL15520
4 Aprvs UTAH20342
2 Aprvs CHA14302
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Feb 26 Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ben Sheppard (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Ben Sheppard is currently on a 14-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Ben Sheppard is Under 12.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards on Saturday 21 February at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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