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Trae Young

Washington Wizards

Value call
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits

Trae Young (Washington Wizards) has one live pick today: under 28.5 pts asts that pays $210 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
23.9 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.2% · the book's price implies 47.6% · gap +24.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Wed 21 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Trae Young
under 28.5 pts asts
Pts + Asts Under 28.5 +110 (2.10) · $100→$210
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.00 Odds+110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trae Young is Under 28.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 21, 11:24PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts72.2%—47.6%1.39+24.6%

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AI Analysis

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Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks: Trae Young Under 28.5 Pts + Asts (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Trae Young has been playing at home, where he usually gets more assists, but he's facing a tough matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks. They allow a lot of three-point attempts, but they also defend well in other areas. The Wizards have struggled with rebounding and turnovers, which might limit Trae's chances to rack up points and assists. While he averages a solid number of assists at home, the Bucks are known for their defense and could make it challenging for him to hit that target. The most concrete risk here is that he might not get enough opportunities if the team struggles to rebound or if Milwaukee controls the pace of the game. Betting on Trae Young to score under 28.5 points and assists seems like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Trae Young's lines for Wed 21 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pts + Asts 28.5

Trae Young's pts + asts line is 28.5.

Assists 11.5

Trae Young's assists line is 11.5.

Pts + Rebs + Asts 29.5

Trae Young's pts + rebs + asts line is 29.5.

Pts + Asts 27.5

Trae Young's pts + asts line is 27.5.

Rebs + Asts 10.5

Trae Young's rebs + asts line is 10.5.

Trae Young — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Trae Young averaged 23.8 points, 3.1 rebounds and 11.3 assists in 35.4 minutes per game, shooting 41.1% from the field and 33.8% from three-point range.

23.8
PPG
3.1
RPG
11.3
APG
1.2
SPG
0.2
BPG
35.4
MPG
41.1%
FG%
33.8%
3P%

Trae Young — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Trae Young has played 37.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

37.6
MPG (L5)
29.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Trae Young — points hit rate

Trae Young has scored over 25.5 points in 45% of 299 career games.

o11.592%
o12.590%
o15.580%
o20.565%
o25.545%
o30.526%
o35.515%

Trae Young — home vs away scoring

At home Trae Young averages 22.3 points per game; on the road, 25.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

22.3
PPG at home
25.2
PPG on the road

Trae Young — scoring by opponent

Trae Young scores most against the POR, averaging 31.5 points per game in that matchup.

31.5
POR
30.6
MIN
28.3
PHX
28.0
BKN
27.4
HOU
27.2
LAL

Trae Young — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Trae Young has averaged 25.7 points, 2.9 rebounds and 12.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
18 Aprvs MIA4429511
15 Apr@ ORL402826
11 Apr@ PHI3636311
10 Apr@ BKN3124112
8 Apr@ ORL3728110
6 Aprvs UTAH3723515
5 Aprvs NY321619
2 Apr@ DAL4025412
1 Aprvs POR3629415
30 Mar@ MIL3719319
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trae Young (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Trae Young is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Trae Young is Under 28.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.6% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards on Wednesday 21 October at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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