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Model picks & player props
Houston Rockets
VS
New York Knicks

Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:10PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
5
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Houston Rockets 10.5 (Point Spread)
For Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks (NBA), model win probability 63.7%, fair odds 1.57, book price -122, model edge +8.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Houston Rockets
10.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Houston RocketsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston RocketsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Rockets

  • Fred VanVleet GDay-to-day
  • Kevin Durant FDay-to-day
  • Steven Adams CDay-to-day

New York Knicks

  • Mohamed Diawara FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Brunson GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 2:45AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Mitchell Robinson New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Hart New York Knicks Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Mikal Bridges New York Knicks Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jalen Brunson New York Knicks Rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Alperen Sengun Houston Rockets Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsHouston Rockets @ New York KnicksNo line posted

New York Knicks and Houston Rockets combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew York Knicks spreadNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) meet Houston Rockets; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew York Knicks to winNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) host or visit Houston Rockets; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New York Knicks totalNo line posted

New York Knicks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Houston Rockets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Houston Rockets totalNo line posted

Houston Rockets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New York Knicks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Houston Rockets @ New York Knicks — model preview

<p>Winning bets for New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Over 9.5 Points + Assists (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Alperen Sengun's over 9.5 points + assists is a solid bet. Statistically, Sengun's recent performance supports this. In the last five games, he has averaged 20.6 points and 5.8 assists overall, and 23.8 points and 4.2 assists for away games. Even when focusing on his performance against the Knicks, he's averaged 18 points and 4.2 assists overall and 14.5 points and 3 assists for away games. The bet is further reinforced by his 100% hit rate over the last 20 games, both overall and for away games. Given these figures, it is highly probable that Sengun will exceed the 9.5 points + assists mark in the game against the Knicks.

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Mitchell Robinson to go under 16.5 combined points and rebounds is mainly driven by his recent performance. His average combined points and rebounds in the last five overall games is 13.8, which is significantly lower than the target of 16.5. Even when playing at home, Robinson's average combined points and rebounds is 10.8, well below the outcome point. Moreover, his average against the Rockets, the opponent for this game, stands at 13.5, and it drops to 9 when playing at home. Although Robinson has a high hit rate in his last few games, the numbers show that he consistently falls short of the 16.5 mark. Therefore, based on these statistics, it is statistically reasonable to bet on Robinson to stay under 16.5 combined points and rebounds in the upcoming game against the Rockets.

Mikal Bridges (Brooklyn Nets) Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Mikal Bridges' recent performance data supports a bet for Over 23.5 in Points + Rebounds + Assists. In the last five home games, Bridges averaged 18.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists, which totals 27.6, comfortably over the 23.5 threshold. Additionally, when specifically playing against the Rockets at home, his average for the same metrics are 21 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 2.8 assists, totaling 29.2, again exceeding the target. The home hit rate for this bet for Bridges is also high, being successful 4 out of the last 5 times. Therefore, the historical data suggests that Bridges' performance at home, and specifically against the Rockets, makes this a strong bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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