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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Sarr is Over 18.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +16.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:57AM UTC
NBA

Alex Sarr

Washington Wizards

+16.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 18.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+16.4% Edge
Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Sun 22 Mar, 11:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Washington's selection of AJ Dybantsa likely won't significantly alter Sarr's role heading into his third NBA season
updated Jun 24, 2:36PM UTC · 47d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.6%
Implied Probability
55.2%
Model Edge
+16.4%
Predicted Value
22.5 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs71.6%—55.2%1.40+16.4%

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AI Analysis

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Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Alex Sarr, the numbers tell a compelling story that points towards a strong performance against the Wizards. Averaging 12.8 points and 4.6 rebounds over his last five games, Sarr's production has been steady, but there's reason to believe he can elevate his game on the road. Notably, he's been more productive away, upping his scoring to 13.4 points and grabbing 5 rebounds per game.Against the Wizards, Sarr has consistently found success, averaging 13.6 points and a solid 6.4 rebounds in their recent matchups. With a hit rate of 13 out of the last 17 games, betting on him to exceed the 18.5 combined points and rebounds feels like a smart play. Given his current trajectory and the Wizards' defensive vulnerabilities, Sarr could very well go beyond our expectations in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
BlocksSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Blocks prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Blocks 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Sarr is Over 18.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.4% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks on Sunday 22 March at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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