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NBA

Alex Sarr

Washington Wizards

+15.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +106 (2.06)
+15.7% Edge
Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York
Sun 22 Mar, 11:30PM
Model Probability
64.3%
Implied Probability
48.5%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value
22.0 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look at Alex Sarr's upcoming matchup against the Washington Wizards, there's a compelling case for targeting the over on his points and rebounds at 19.5. Sarr has been on a tear lately, hitting this mark in 12 of his last 17 games overall, and his away performance is even more impressive-he's cleared this threshold in 15 of his last 20 road games. In his last five games, Sarr has averaged 13.4 points and 5 rebounds on the road, translating to a solid 18.4 combined. But against the Wizards, he boosts those numbers, averaging 13.6 points and 6.4 rebounds. With an expected stat value nudging 22 and a model edge suggesting he's well-positioned to exceed 19.5, it's clear Sarr is ready to make an impact. He thrives away from home, and against a vulnerable Wizards defense, this could be a breakout performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks Points 11.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
10 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Rebounds 3.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Blocks 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Alex Sarr is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks on Sunday 22 March at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.