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Alex Sarr

Washington Wizards

Value call

Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) has one live pick today: over 11.5 points that pays $167 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
17.6 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 85.3% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +25.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Sun 22 Mar, 7:30 PM ET
Alex Sarr
over 11.5 points
Points Over 11.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
Value call
HIGHWins about 85 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.70 Odds-149
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Sarr is Over 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 85%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:10AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points85.3%—59.9%1.17+25.4%

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AI Analysis

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Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) Over 11.5 Points (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Alex Sarr, the numbers tell a compelling story. As he faces off against the Wizards on the road, his recent performances paint a picture of a player in form. Averaging 12.8 points over his last five games, Sarr has been consistently delivering, notching 13.4 when away from home, specifically against teams like Washington. With an impressive track record-hitting the over in 13 of his last 17 games and 16 of his last 20 on the road-he's clearly found a rhythm that's hard to ignore. His expected stat value of 17.59 suggests he could easily surpass the 11.5 points mark. The Wizards have struggled defensively, making this a prime opportunity for Sarr to exploit their weaknesses. With an implied probability of nearly 60%, betting on him to go over 11.5 feels not just reasonable, but a savvy play as well.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
BlocksSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Blocks prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Rebounds 3.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
28 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Blocks 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Sarr is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.4% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks on Sunday 22 March at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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