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Davion Mitchell

Miami Heat

+21.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 8.5 +162 (2.62)
+21.4% Edge
Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami
Sat 4 Apr, 7:00PM
Model Probability
59.6%
Implied Probability
38.2%
Model Edge
+21.4%
Predicted Value
7.7 Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

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Davion Mitchell (Miami Heat) Under 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (+162)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we dive into the matchup between the Miami Heat and the Washington Wizards, it feels like a smart play to target Davion Mitchell for the under on his rebounds and assists total at 8.5. Sure, Mitchell has flashes of brilliance, but let's face it-his recent numbers paint a different picture. In his last five games, he's averaging just 3 rebounds and 5.4 assists, which doesn't quite stack up against that 8.5 mark. At home, those stats dip even further to 2.6 boards and 5 assists. Plus, when facing the Wizards, he's only managed 2.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists at home. All this points to a trend; he's hit the under in 7 of his last 12 home outings. With his expected stat value sitting at 7.69, this under feels like the play here, especially against a Wizards team that won't let him run wild.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (19 picks) 31.6% (6/19)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Rebs + Asts 8.5 Under +162 ✗ MISS
04 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Rebounds 2.5 Under +154 ✗ MISS
04 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Pts + Rebs + Asts 21.5 Under -139 ✗ MISS
04 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
04 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Pts + Rebs Pending
04 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Davion Mitchell (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 19 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 31.6% (6/19). The latest model pick for Davion Mitchell is Under 8.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat on Saturday 4 April at Kaseya Center, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.