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Davion Mitchell

Miami Heat

Value call
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits

Davion Mitchell (Miami Heat) has one live pick today: over 9.5 points that pays $169 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
13.6 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.5% · before adjusting for past results 80.2% · the book's price implies 59.2% · gap -9.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Davion Mitchell
over 9.5 points
Points Over 9.5 -145 (1.69) · $100→$169
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.90 Odds-145
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Davion Mitchell is Over 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 10:41AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points80.2%49.5%59.2%2.02+21.0%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks: Davion Mitchell Over 9.5 Points (-145)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Davion Mitchell has been playing well lately, showing he can score when needed. The Miami Heat allow opponents a lot of three-point attempts and give up quite a few rebounds, which means there will be chances for Mitchell to get points off missed shots and fast breaks. The Heat's defense might struggle to keep him from getting to the basket. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so the game could be tight, which sometimes limits scoring. Still, with the Heat's recent defensive numbers, it feels like a good spot for Mitchell to go over 9.5 points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Davion Mitchell — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Davion Mitchell averaged 8.5 points, 2.3 rebounds and 5.0 assists in 28.0 minutes per game, shooting 48.2% from the field and 41.1% from three-point range.

8.5
PPG
2.3
RPG
5.0
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
28.0
MPG
48.2%
FG%
41.1%
3P%

Davion Mitchell — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Davion Mitchell has played 36.4 minutes per game and started 60% of them.

36.4
MPG (L5)
15.2
PPG (L5)
60%
Started

Davion Mitchell — points hit rate

Davion Mitchell has scored over 11.5 points in 41% of 66 career games.

o11.541%
o12.536%
o15.521%

Davion Mitchell — home vs away scoring

At home Davion Mitchell averages 8.4 points per game; on the road, 8.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.4
PPG at home
8.6
PPG on the road

Davion Mitchell — scoring by opponent

Davion Mitchell scores most against the CLE, averaging 9.2 points per game in that matchup.

9.2
CLE
9.1
BOS
9.0
ATL
8.7
OKC
8.7
HOU
8.4
GS

Davion Mitchell — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Davion Mitchell has averaged 13.5 points, 2.7 rebounds and 6.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
28 Aprvs CLE35805
26 Aprvs CLE371645
23 Apr@ CLE361816
20 Apr@ CLE341849
18 Apr@ ATL401635
16 Apr@ CHI331529
13 Aprvs WSH20448
11 Apr@ NO221123
9 Apr@ CHI361738
7 Aprvs PHI361249
Quick answers:How many assists does Davion Mitchell average?How many points does Davion Mitchell average?How many rebounds does Davion Mitchell average?How many three-pointers does Davion Mitchell average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat Points 9.5 Over -145 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets Points 9.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 26 Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat Points 7.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 26 Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat Points — — — Pending
23 Oct 26 Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Davion Mitchell (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Davion Mitchell is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Davion Mitchell is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat on Monday 26 October at Kaseya Center, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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