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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tre Jones is Under 18.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +33.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:13AM UTC
NBA

Tre Jones

Chicago Bulls

+33.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 18.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
+33.5% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.0%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+33.5%
Predicted Value
12.7 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points84.0%50.5%1.19+33.5%

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AI Analysis

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Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) Under 18.5 Points (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Bulls head into Washington, all eyes will be on Tre Jones, but betting on him to go over 18.5 points might be a misstep. Sure, he's been averaging just shy of 20 points over his last five games, but dig deeper and you'll notice his away performance tells a different story. On the road, Jones has been scoring around 18.2 points, but against the Wizards, he's managed only 9 points in their last matchup. With the Wizards' defense tightening up, especially against guards, this could be a tough night for him. In fact, in his last 19 away games, he's hit the under 12 times. Given that he's facing a motivated Washington squad eager to hold court, expecting Jones to fall short of 18.5 feels like a smart play. This matchup lines up perfectly for the under, especially with an expected stat value of just 12.73.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tre Jones — 2024-25 season averages

Over 46 games in the 2024-25 season, Tre Jones averaged 7.2 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 19.7 minutes per game, shooting 53.8% from the field and 39.6% from three-point range.

7.2
PPG
2.5
RPG
4.2
APG
0.8
SPG
0.2
BPG
19.7
MPG
53.8%
FG%
39.6%
3P%

Tre Jones — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tre Jones has played 33.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

33.6
MPG (L5)
16.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tre Jones — home vs away scoring

At home Tre Jones averages 6.8 points per game; on the road, 7.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

6.8
PPG at home
7.6
PPG on the road

Tre Jones — scoring by opponent

Tre Jones scores most against the HOU, averaging 12.1 points per game in that matchup.

12.1
HOU
9.9
NO
9.4
MIN
8.7
PHX
8.1
MEM
8.1
POR

Tre Jones — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tre Jones has averaged 14.5 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
20 Mar@ SAC331547
19 Mar@ PHX321269
17 Mar@ UTAH3418412
15 Mar@ HOU331926
13 Marvs BKN361866
10 Marvs IND34838
8 Mar@ MIA331555
6 Mar@ ORL302054
4 Marvs CLE34987
2 Mar@ IND271106
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tre Jones is Under 18.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +33.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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