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NBA

Jalen Smith

Chicago Bulls

Value call

Jalen Smith (Chicago Bulls) has one live pick today: under 12.5 points that pays $202 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
9.7 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.3% · before adjusting for past results 72.7% · the book's price implies 49.5% · gap +3.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI · Indoor
Fri 23 Oct, 4:00 PM ET
Jalen Smith
under 12.5 points
Points Under 12.5 +102 (2.02) · $100→$202
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.20 Odds+102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Smith is Under 12.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 10:43PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.7%53.3%49.5%1.88+23.2%

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AI Analysis

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls: Jalen Smith Under 12.5 Points (+102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Milwaukee Bucks have given up a lot of three-point attempts lately, allowing teams to shoot nearly 38 threes a game. This could mean more shots and chances for everyone on the court, but it also shows how they can struggle defensively. Jalen Smith has a good chance to score under 12.5 points in this matchup. The Bucks also give up a decent number of rebounds, which means there might be more second-chance points for the Bulls, but Smith's scoring has been up and down lately. With both teams being pretty close in how they handle rebounds and turnovers, it might be tough for Smith to find his rhythm tonight. Just remember, while it looks promising, there's always a chance he could miss out on those points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jalen Smith's lines for Fri 23 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Points 12.5
-125 best over price · 2 books

Jalen Smith's points line is 12.5, best over price -125 across 2 books.

Jalen Smith — 2024-25 season averages

Over 65 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Smith averaged 8.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 14.9 minutes per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 32.4% from three-point range.

8.1
PPG
5.5
RPG
1.0
APG
0.3
SPG
0.7
BPG
14.9
MPG
46.6%
FG%
32.4%
3P%

Jalen Smith — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Smith has played 12.0 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

12.0
MPG (L5)
6.2
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Jalen Smith — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Smith averages 8.0 points per game; on the road, 8.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.0
PPG at home
8.1
PPG on the road

Jalen Smith — scoring by opponent

Jalen Smith scores most against the PHI, averaging 10.5 points per game in that matchup.

10.5
PHI
10.1
CHA
9.4
CLE
8.8
MIL
8.8
TOR
8.7
ATL

Jalen Smith — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Smith has averaged 6.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Aprvs MIA4001
13 Apr@ PHI1612102
11 Aprvs WSH4210
8 Apr@ CLE3213102
1 Aprvs TOR4420
31 Mar@ OKC181061
24 Mar@ DEN151493
22 Mar@ LAL4012
15 Mar@ HOU12461
8 Mar@ MIA16741
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Asts — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors Points — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Smith (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Smith is Under 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.2% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks on Friday 23 October at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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